Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Card Battler + Turn-Based Strategy
Card Battler + Turn-Based Strategy
Games tagged both Card Battler and Turn-Based Strategy: 185 indie paid launches, 12 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Card Battler + Turn-Based Strategy priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails Card Battler and is level with Turn-Based Strategy; priced $10 to $20 it is level with Card Battler and beats Turn-Based Strategy.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Card Battler + Turn-Based Strategy is level with Card Battler and beats Turn-Based Strategy: 23.5 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 23.2 in 100 for Card Battler and 15.8 in 100 for Turn-Based Strategy.
That is about 1.3 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 51 games tagged both Card Battler and Turn-Based Strategy priced $10 to $20. 23.5 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 23.1 for Card Battler-only games and 14.2 for Turn-Based Strategy-only games, so the mix is level with Card Battler alone and beats Turn-Based Strategy alone.
Both: 51 games priced $10 to $20; 23.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $9,714.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 51 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Card Battler + Turn-Based Strategy holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view170 of 185 launches | Without the breakout184 of 185 launches | Last 18 months108 of 185 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 18512 hits | 17010 hits | 18411 hits | 1088 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.5 in 1001 in 15 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 7.4 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,132top tenth $34,188+ | $1,133 | $1,132 | $911 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -9.2%0.6 fewer in 100 | -7.7%0.5 fewer in 100 | +13.8%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.1%$1 more | 0.0%no change | -19.5%$221 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Card Battler and Turn-Based Strategy, 6 to 30 months old: 185 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 15 of 185 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Decktamer (11.0% of the money): 184 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 108 of 185.
Card Battler holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Card Battler | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view602 of 657 launches | Without the breakout656 of 657 launches | Last 18 months392 of 657 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 65752 hits | 60246 hits | 65651 hits | 39231 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,093top tenth $63,745+ | $1,213 | $1,093 | $1,113 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.8%0.3 fewer in 100 | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +11.0%$120 more | 0.0%no change | +1.8%$20 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Card Battler, 6 to 30 months old: 657 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 55 of 657 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Spire 2 (65.8% of the money): 656 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 392 of 657.
Turn-Based Strategy holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Turn-Based Strategy | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,098 of 1,231 launches | Without the breakout1,230 of 1,231 launches | Last 18 months712 of 1,231 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,23184 hits | 1,09876 hits | 1,23083 hits | 71242 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.8 in 1001 in 15 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $809top tenth $50,170+ | $909 | $809 | $667 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.5%0.1 more in 100 | -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | -13.2%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +12.4%$100 more | 0.0%no change | -17.6%$142 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Turn-Based Strategy, 6 to 30 months old: 1,231 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 133 of 1,231 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mewgenics (33.1% of the money): 1,230 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 712 of 1,231.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Card Battler + Turn-Based Strategy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.