Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Card Game + Fantasy
Games tagged both Card Game and Fantasy: 86 indie paid launches, 11 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Card Game + Fantasy priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Card Game and is too small to compare with Fantasy.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Card Game + Fantasy is too small to compare with Card Game and is too small to compare with Fantasy: 7 of its 19 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 21.7 in 100 for Card Game and 13.8 in 100 for Fantasy.
Small sample: 19 launches, 7 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 19 games tagged both Card Game and Fantasy priced $10 to $20. 7 of 19 of them earned $100k+, against 20.2 in 100 for Card Game-only games and 12.7 in 100 for Fantasy-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Card Game alone and is too small to compare with Fantasy alone.
Both: 19 games priced $10 to $20; 7 of 19 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 15 of 19 launches · $10k+ 12 of 19 launches · $100k+ 7 of 19 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 19 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Card Game + Fantasy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view82 of 86 launches | Without the breakout85 of 86 launches | Last 18 months35 of 86 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 8611 hits | 8210 hits | 8510 hits | 356 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 12.8 in 100 | 12.2 in 100 | 11.8 in 100 | 17.1 in 100 |
| Chance of $10k+ | 23 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 42 in 100 | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -4.7%0.6 fewer in 100 | -8.0%1.0 fewer in 100 | +34.0%4.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Card Game and Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 86 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 86 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Bazaar (35.3% of the money): 85 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 35 of 86.
Card Game is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Card Game | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view833 of 935 launches | Without the breakout934 of 935 launches | Last 18 months302 of 935 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 93566 hits | 83358 hits | 93465 hits | 30224 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $580top tenth $57,067+ | $650 | $580 | $750 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +12.6%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +12.1%$70 more | 0.0%no change | +29.3%$170 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Card Game, 12 to 36 months old: 935 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 102 of 935 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (29.4% of the money): 934 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 302 of 935.
Fantasy is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Fantasy | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,727 of 1,807 launches | Without the breakout1,806 of 1,807 launches | Last 18 months519 of 1,807 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,807118 hits | 1,727114 hits | 1,806117 hits | 51942 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.5 in 1001 in 15 | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 | 6.5 in 1001 in 15 | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $618top tenth $35,216+ | $638 | $618 | $780 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.1%0.1 more in 100 | -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | +23.9%1.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.2%$20 more | 0.0%no change | +26.2%$162 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 1,807 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 80 of 1,807 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (20.1% of the money): 1,806 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 519 of 1,807.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Card Game + Fantasy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.