Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Card Game + Roguelike
Card Game + Roguelike
Games tagged both Card Game and Roguelike: 334 indie paid launches, 38 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Card Game + Roguelike priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it beats Card Game and is about level with Roguelike.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Card Game + Roguelike beats Card Game and is about level with Roguelike: 28.2 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 21.7 in 100 for Card Game and 26.9 in 100 for Roguelike.
That is about 1.4 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 103 games tagged both Card Game and Roguelike priced $10 to $20. 28.2 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.4 in 100 for Card Game-only games and 26.5 in 100 for Roguelike-only games, so the mix beats Card Game alone and is about level with Roguelike alone.
Both: 103 games priced $10 to $20; 28.2 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $30,225.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 103 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Card Game + Roguelike holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view297 of 334 launches | Without the breakout333 of 334 launches | Last 18 months121 of 334 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 33438 hits | 29735 hits | 33337 hits | 12113 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 11.4 in 100 | 11.8 in 100 | 11.1 in 100 | 10.7 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,015top tenth $126,902+ | $2,433 | $1,949 | $2,184 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +3.6%0.4 more in 100 | -2.3%0.3 fewer in 100 | -5.6%0.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +20.7%$418 more | -3.3%$66 less | +8.4%$169 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Card Game and Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 334 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 37 of 334 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (47.9% of the money): 333 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 121 of 334.
Card Game is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Card Game | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view833 of 935 launches | Without the breakout934 of 935 launches | Last 18 months302 of 935 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 93566 hits | 83358 hits | 93465 hits | 30224 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $580top tenth $57,067+ | $650 | $580 | $750 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +12.6%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +12.1%$70 more | 0.0%no change | +29.3%$170 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Card Game, 12 to 36 months old: 935 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 102 of 935 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (29.4% of the money): 934 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 302 of 935.
Roguelike holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Roguelike | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,002 of 2,152 launches | Without the breakout2,151 of 2,152 launches | Last 18 months675 of 2,152 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,152178 hits | 2,002164 hits | 2,151177 hits | 67558 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.6 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,017top tenth $71,528+ | $1,091 | $1,012 | $909 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.0%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.5%no change | +3.9%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +7.3%$74 more | -0.5%$5 less | -10.6%$108 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 2,152 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 150 of 2,152 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (16.0% of the money): 2,151 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 675 of 2,152.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Card Game + Roguelike moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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