Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Cartoon + Casual
Games tagged both Cartoon and Casual: 469 indie paid launches, 10 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Cartoon + Casual priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Cartoon and is about level with Casual; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Cartoon and is too small to compare with Casual.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Cartoon + Casual is too small to compare with Cartoon and is too small to compare with Casual: 3 of its 33 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.1 in 100 for Cartoon and 13.2 in 100 for Casual.
Small sample: 33 launches, 3 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 33 games tagged both Cartoon and Casual priced $10 to $20. 3 of 33 of them earned $100k+, against 18.9 in 100 for Cartoon-only games and 13.3 in 100 for Casual-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Cartoon alone and is too small to compare with Casual alone.
Both: 33 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 33 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 76 in 100 · $10k+ 18 in 100 · $100k+ 3 of 33 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 33 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Cartoon + Casual holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view441 of 469 launches | Without the breakout468 of 469 launches | Last 18 months144 of 469 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 46910 hits | 44110 hits | 4689 hits | 1444 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.1 in 1001 in 47 | 2.3 in 1001 in 44 | 1.9 in 1001 in 52 | 4 of 144too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $159top tenth $4,968+ | $159 | $159 | $190 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +6.3%0.1 more in 100 | -9.8%0.2 fewer in 100 | +30.3%0.6 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +19.5%$31 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Cartoon and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 469 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 28 of 469 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Among Us 3D (16.4% of the money): 468 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 144 of 469.
Cartoon holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Cartoon | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view733 of 784 launches | Without the breakout783 of 784 launches | Last 18 months223 of 784 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 78428 hits | 73325 hits | 78327 hits | 2239 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.6 in 1001 in 28 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 4.0 in 1001 in 25 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $276top tenth $16,489+ | $284 | $268 | $266 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -4.5%0.2 fewer in 100 | -3.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +13.0%0.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +2.9%$8 more | -2.9%$8 less | -3.6%$10 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cartoon, 12 to 36 months old: 784 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 51 of 784 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Kingdom Rush 5: Alliance TD (23.8% of the money): 783 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 223 of 784.
Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Casual | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view9,216 of 9,755 launches | Without the breakout9,754 of 9,755 launches | Last 18 months2,936 of 9,755 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 9,755291 hits | 9,216272 hits | 9,754290 hits | 2,936122 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.0 in 1001 in 34 | 3.0 in 1001 in 34 | 3.0 in 1001 in 34 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $248top tenth $9,802+ | $264 | $248 | $230 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.1%no change | -0.3%no change | +39.3%1.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +6.5%$16 more | 0.0%no change | -7.3%$18 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,755 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 539 of 9,755 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (4.1% of the money): 9,754 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,936 of 9,755.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Cartoon + Casual moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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