Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Cartoony + Simulation
Cartoony + Simulation
Games tagged both Cartoony and Simulation: 180 indie paid launches, 8 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Cartoony + Simulation priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Cartoony and trails Simulation; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Cartoony + Simulation trails both its tags: 6.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.7 in 100 for Cartoony and 21.5 in 100 for Simulation.
That is 1 in 15, about 0.4 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 30 games tagged both Cartoony and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 6.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 16.7 for Cartoony-only games and 21.9 for Simulation-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 30 games priced $10 to $20; 6.7 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 15), typical first-year earnings $3,035.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 30 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Cartoony + Simulation is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view167 of 180 launches | Without the breakout179 of 180 launches | Last 18 months96 of 180 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1808 hits | 1677 hits | 1797 hits | 964 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $485top tenth $17,831+ | $505 | $485 | $607 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -4.5%0.2 fewer in 100 | -11.4%0.5 fewer in 100 | -4.5%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.1%$20 more | 0.0%no change | +25.2%$122 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Cartoony and Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 180 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 180 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Goat Simulator: Remastered (18.6% of the money): 179 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 96 of 180.
Cartoony holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Cartoony | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,368 of 1,463 launches | Without the breakout1,462 of 1,463 launches | Last 18 months769 of 1,463 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,46352 hits | 1,36847 hits | 1,46251 hits | 76926 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.6 in 1001 in 28 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $403top tenth $12,138+ | $404 | $403 | $364 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -5.6%0.2 fewer in 100 | -2.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | -5.6%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | -9.7%$39 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cartoony, 6 to 30 months old: 1,463 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 95 of 1,463 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Another Crab's Treasure (23.1% of the money): 1,462 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 769 of 1,463.
Simulation holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Simulation | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,023 of 5,285 launches | Without the breakout5,284 of 5,285 launches | Last 18 months3,070 of 5,285 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,285435 hits | 5,023411 hits | 5,284434 hits | 3,070225 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $982top tenth $69,988+ | $1,012 | $982 | $971 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -11.0%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +3.1%$30 more | 0.0%no change | -1.1%$11 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 5,285 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 262 of 5,285 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (15.4% of the money): 5,284 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,070 of 5,285.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Cartoony + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.