Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Cartoony + Stylized
Games tagged both Cartoony and Stylized: 125 indie paid launches, 2 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Cartoony + Stylized priced under $5. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails both its tags; priced under $5 it is level with Cartoony and is level with Stylized.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Cartoony + Stylized is level with Cartoony and is level with Stylized: 0.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.2 in 100 for Cartoony and 0.4 in 100 for Stylized.
That is about 0.0 times the 0.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 83 games tagged both Cartoony and Stylized priced under $5. 0.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 0.2 for Cartoony-only games and 0.4 for Stylized-only games, so the mix is level with Cartoony alone and is level with Stylized alone.
Both: 83 games priced under $5; 0.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $121.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 83 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Cartoony + Stylized is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view122 of 125 launches | Without the breakout124 of 125 launches | Last 18 months63 of 125 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1252 hits | 1222 hits | 1241 hits | 630 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.6 in 1001 in 63 | 1.6 in 1001 in 63 | 0.8 in 1001 in 125 | 0.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $242top tenth $2,424+ | $242 | $242 | $243 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -50.0%0.8 fewer in 100 | -100.0%1.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +0.4%$1 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Cartoony and Stylized, 6 to 30 months old: 125 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 125 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Akimbot (53.7% of the money): 124 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 63 of 125.
Cartoony holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Cartoony | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,368 of 1,463 launches | Without the breakout1,462 of 1,463 launches | Last 18 months769 of 1,463 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,46352 hits | 1,36847 hits | 1,46251 hits | 76926 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.6 in 1001 in 28 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $403top tenth $12,138+ | $404 | $403 | $364 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -5.6%0.2 fewer in 100 | -2.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | -5.6%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | -9.7%$39 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cartoony, 6 to 30 months old: 1,463 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 95 of 1,463 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Another Crab's Treasure (23.1% of the money): 1,462 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 769 of 1,463.
Stylized holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Stylized | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,493 of 1,525 launches | Without the breakout1,524 of 1,525 launches | Last 18 months875 of 1,525 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,52558 hits | 1,49357 hits | 1,52457 hits | 87528 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 | 3.7 in 1001 in 27 | 3.2 in 1001 in 31 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $405top tenth $12,445+ | $405 | $405 | $404 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -2.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -15.8%0.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -0.2%$1 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Stylized, 6 to 30 months old: 1,525 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 32 of 1,525 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Cairn (18.1% of the money): 1,524 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 875 of 1,525.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Cartoony + Stylized moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.