Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Casual + Minimalist
Casual + Minimalist
Games tagged both Casual and Minimalist: 662 indie paid launches, 10 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Casual + Minimalist priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Casual and is about level with Minimalist; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Casual and is too small to compare with Minimalist.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Casual + Minimalist is too small to compare with Casual and is too small to compare with Minimalist: 4 of its 25 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 13.8 in 100 for Casual and 19.7 in 100 for Minimalist.
Small sample: 25 launches, 4 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 25 games tagged both Casual and Minimalist priced $10 to $20. 4 of 25 of them earned $100k+, against 13.8 in 100 for Casual-only games and 22.0 in 100 for Minimalist-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Casual alone and is too small to compare with Minimalist alone.
Both: 25 games priced $10 to $20; 4 of 25 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 13 of 25 launches · $10k+ 9 of 25 launches · $100k+ 4 of 25 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 25 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Casual + Minimalist holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view636 of 662 launches | Without the breakout661 of 662 launches | Last 18 months196 of 662 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 66210 hits | 63610 hits | 6619 hits | 1964 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.5 in 1001 in 66 | 1.6 in 1001 in 64 | 1.4 in 1001 in 73 | 4 of 196too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $130top tenth $3,002+ | $135 | $130 | $145 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +4.1%0.1 more in 100 | -9.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | +35.1%0.5 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.8%$5 more | 0.0%no change | +11.5%$15 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Casual and Minimalist, 12 to 36 months old: 662 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 662 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Cast n Chill (37.6% of the money): 661 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 196 of 662.
Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Casual | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view9,378 of 9,921 launches | Without the breakout9,920 of 9,921 launches | Last 18 months2,915 of 9,921 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 9,921305 hits | 9,378287 hits | 9,920304 hits | 2,915127 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.1 in 1001 in 33 | 3.1 in 1001 in 33 | 3.1 in 1001 in 33 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $252top tenth $10,057+ | $268 | $252 | $272 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.5%no change | -0.3%no change | +41.7%1.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +6.3%$16 more | 0.0%no change | +7.9%$20 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,921 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 543 of 9,921 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.9% of the money): 9,920 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,915 of 9,921.
Minimalist holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Minimalist | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,061 of 1,092 launches | Without the breakout1,091 of 1,092 launches | Last 18 months313 of 1,092 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,09225 hits | 1,06125 hits | 1,09124 hits | 3139 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.3 in 1001 in 44 | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 | 2.2 in 1001 in 45 | 2.9 in 1001 in 35 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $181top tenth $5,347+ | $189 | $177 | $163 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +2.9%0.1 more in 100 | -3.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | +25.6%0.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.4%$8 more | -2.2%$4 less | -9.9%$18 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Minimalist, 12 to 36 months old: 1,092 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 31 of 1,092 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Cast n Chill (20.7% of the money): 1,091 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 313 of 1,092.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Casual + Minimalist moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.