Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Casual + Strategy
Games tagged both Casual and Strategy: 1,794 indie paid launches, 38 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Casual + Strategy priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Casual and trails Strategy; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Casual + Strategy trails both its tags: 8.5 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 13.2 in 100 for Casual and 18.8 in 100 for Strategy.
That is 1 in 12, about 0.4 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 188 games tagged both Casual and Strategy priced $10 to $20. 8.5 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.2 in 100 for Casual-only games and 21.8 in 100 for Strategy-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 188 games priced $10 to $20; 8.5 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 12), typical first-year earnings $3,042.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 188 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Casual + Strategy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,632 of 1,794 launches | Without the breakout1,793 of 1,794 launches | Last 18 months592 of 1,794 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,79438 hits | 1,63235 hits | 1,79337 hits | 59217 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.1 in 1001 in 47 | 2.1 in 1001 in 47 | 2.1 in 1001 in 48 | 2.9 in 1001 in 35 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $169top tenth $8,484+ | $179 | $169 | $179 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.2%no change | -2.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | +35.6%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +5.9%$10 more | 0.0%no change | +5.9%$10 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Casual and Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 1,794 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 162 of 1,794 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Demonic Mahjong (6.1% of the money): 1,793 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 592 of 1,794.
Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Casual | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view9,216 of 9,755 launches | Without the breakout9,754 of 9,755 launches | Last 18 months2,936 of 9,755 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 9,755291 hits | 9,216272 hits | 9,754290 hits | 2,936122 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.0 in 1001 in 34 | 3.0 in 1001 in 34 | 3.0 in 1001 in 34 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $248top tenth $9,802+ | $264 | $248 | $230 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.1%no change | -0.3%no change | +39.3%1.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +6.5%$16 more | 0.0%no change | -7.3%$18 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,755 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 539 of 9,755 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (4.1% of the money): 9,754 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,936 of 9,755.
Strategy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Strategy | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,307 of 4,688 launches | Without the breakout4,687 of 4,688 launches | Last 18 months1,459 of 4,688 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,688325 hits | 4,307297 hits | 4,687324 hits | 1,459107 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 | 6.9 in 1001 in 15 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $439top tenth $49,022+ | $496 | $439 | $521 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.5%no change | -0.3%no change | +5.8%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +13.0%$57 more | 0.0%no change | +18.7%$82 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 4,688 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 381 of 4,688 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (15.2% of the money): 4,687 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,459 of 4,688.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Casual + Strategy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.