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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Choose Your Own Adventure + Simulation

Niche

Choose Your Own Adventure + Simulation

Games tagged both Choose Your Own Adventure and Simulation: 203 indie paid launches, 11 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Choose Your Own Adventure + Simulation priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Choose Your Own Adventure and is about level with Simulation; priced $10 to $20 it is about level with Choose Your Own Adventure and trails Simulation.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Choose Your Own Adventure + Simulation is about level with Choose Your Own Adventure and trails Simulation: 9.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 12.4 in 100 for Choose Your Own Adventure and 20.9 in 100 for Simulation.

That is 1 in 10, about 0.5 times the 17.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

TIETied
Tag oneChoose Your Own Adventure
12.4in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds12.4 in 100
Typical earnings$4,517
Launches242 / 30 hits
A tie, apart by2.7 in 100
TIETied
This pairChoose Your Own Adventure + Simulation
9.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds1 in 10
Typical earnings$3,123
Launches62 / 6 hits
Expected17.6 in 100
1STWinner
Tag twoSimulation
20.9in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds20.9 in 100
Typical earnings$11,548
Launches876 / 183 hits
Pair trails by11.2 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices203 in pairUnder $580 in pair$5 to $1043 in pair$10 to $2062 in pair$20 to $4018 in pair
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 62 games tagged both Choose Your Own Adventure and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 9.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 13.3 in 100 for Choose Your Own Adventure-only games and 21.7 in 100 for Simulation-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.

Both: 62 games priced $10 to $20; 9.7 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 10), typical first-year earnings $3,123.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 62 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Cabernetleads this pair14.3%
PairCabernet14.3%
Choose Your Own AdventureSlay the Princess — The Pristine Cut14.5%
SimulationSchedule I17.6%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Choose Your Own Adventure + Simulation

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Cabernet earned 14.3% of the estimated first-year money of the 203 Choose Your Own Adventure + Simulation launches.
  • Choose Your Own Adventure is led by Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut, with 14.5% of its money.
  • Simulation is led by Schedule I, with 17.6% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Choose Your Own Adventure + Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Choose Your Own Adventure + Simulation through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view199 of 203 launchesWithout the breakout202 of 203 launchesLast 18 months51 of 203 launches
Launches counted20311 hits19911 hits20210 hits515 hits
Earned $100k+5.4 in 1001 in 185.5 in 1001 in 185.0 in 1001 in 209.8 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings$1,013top tenth $36,522+$1,013$1,013$1,206
Chance against standardthe base+2.0%0.1 more in 100-8.6%0.5 fewer in 100+80.9%4.4 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base0.0%no change0.0%no change+19.1%$193 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Choose Your Own Adventure and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 203 launches.

Launches counted
20311 hits
Earned $100k+
5.4 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$1,013top tenth $36,522+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 203 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
19911 hits
Earned $100k+
5.5 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$1,013
Chance against standard
+2.0%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Cabernet (14.3% of the money): 202 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
20210 hits
Earned $100k+
5.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings
$1,013
Chance against standard
-8.6%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 51 of 203.

Launches counted
515 hits
Earned $100k+
9.8 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings
$1,206
Chance against standard
+80.9%4.4 more in 100
Typical against standard
+19.1%$193 more; too few to tell
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Choose Your Own Adventure and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 203 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 203 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Cabernet (14.3% of the money): 202 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 51 of 203.

Choose Your Own Adventure is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Choose Your Own Adventure through every lens, all prices
Choose Your Own AdventureBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,000 of 1,042 launchesWithout the breakout1,041 of 1,042 launchesLast 18 months285 of 1,042 launches
Launches counted1,04255 hits1,00046 hits1,04154 hits28520 hits
Earned $100k+5.3 in 1001 in 194.6 in 1001 in 225.2 in 1001 in 197.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings$918top tenth $26,713+$908$918$917
Chance against standardthe base-12.9%0.7 fewer in 100-1.7%0.1 fewer in 100+33.0%1.7 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base-1.1%$10 less0.0%no change-0.1%$1 less
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Choose Your Own Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 1,042 launches.

Launches counted
1,04255 hits
Earned $100k+
5.3 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings
$918top tenth $26,713+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 1,042 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,00046 hits
Earned $100k+
4.6 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings
$908
Chance against standard
-12.9%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-1.1%$10 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut (14.5% of the money): 1,041 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,04154 hits
Earned $100k+
5.2 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings
$918
Chance against standard
-1.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 285 of 1,042.

Launches counted
28520 hits
Earned $100k+
7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$917
Chance against standard
+33.0%1.7 more in 100
Typical against standard
-0.1%$1 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Choose Your Own Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 1,042 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 1,042 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut (14.5% of the money): 1,041 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 285 of 1,042.

Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Simulation through every lens, all prices
SimulationBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view4,193 of 4,444 launchesWithout the breakout4,443 of 4,444 launchesLast 18 months1,387 of 4,444 launches
Launches counted4,444370 hits4,193351 hits4,443369 hits1,387117 hits
Earned $100k+8.3 in 1001 in 128.4 in 1001 in 128.3 in 1001 in 128.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings$877top tenth $69,001+$941$876$956
Chance against standardthe base+0.5%no change-0.2%no change+1.3%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+7.3%$64 more-0.1%$1 less+9.0%$79 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,444 launches.

Launches counted
4,444370 hits
Earned $100k+
8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$877top tenth $69,001+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,444 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
4,193351 hits
Earned $100k+
8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$941
Chance against standard
+0.5%no change
Typical against standard
+7.3%$64 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.6% of the money): 4,443 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
4,443369 hits
Earned $100k+
8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$876
Chance against standard
-0.2%no change
Typical against standard
-0.1%$1 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,387 of 4,444.

Launches counted
1,387117 hits
Earned $100k+
8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$956
Chance against standard
+1.3%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+9.0%$79 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,444 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,444 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.6% of the money): 4,443 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,387 of 4,444.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Choose Your Own Adventure + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.