Niche

Collectathon + Cozy

Games tagged both Collectathon and Cozy: 48 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Collectathon + Cozy priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Collectathon + Cozy is too small to compare with Collectathon and is too small to compare with Cozy: 1 of its 11 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.8 in 100 for Collectathon and 50.0 in 100 for Cozy.

Small sample: 11 launches, 1 hits.

TIETied

Tag oneCollectathon

15.8in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds15.8 in 100

Typical earnings$10,477

Launches114 / 18 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairCollectathon + Cozy

1 of 11launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds1 of 11 launches

$1k+11 of 11 launches

$10k+9 of 11 launches

Launches11 / 1 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoCozy

50.0in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds50.0 in 100

Typical earnings$103,444

Launches114 / 57 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2.5 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices48 in pair Under $526 in pair $5 to $1010 in pair $10 to $2011 in pair$20 to $401: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 11 games tagged both Collectathon and Cozy priced $10 to $20. 1 of 11 of them earned $100k+, against 16.5 in 100 for Collectathon-only games and 54.4 in 100 for Cozy-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Collectathon alone and is too small to compare with Cozy alone.

Both: 11 games priced $10 to $20; 1 of 11 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 11 of 11 launches · $10k+ 9 of 11 launches · $100k+ 1 of 11 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 11 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Tiny Bookshopleads this pair84.8%

PairTiny Bookshop84.8%

CollectathonTCG Card Shop Simulator55.5%

CozyHello Kitty Island Adventure9.9%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Collectathon + Cozy

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Tiny Bookshop earned 84.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 48 Collectathon + Cozy launches.
Collectathon is led by TCG Card Shop Simulator, with 55.5% of its money.
Cozy is led by Hello Kitty Island Adventure, with 9.9% of its money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Collectathon + Cozy is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money.

Collectathon + Cozy through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view48 of 48 launches	Without the breakout47 of 48 launches	Last 18 months18 of 48 launches
Launches counted	481 hits	481 hits	470 hits	181 hits
Earned $100k+	1 of 48too few for a rate	1 of 48too few for a rate	0 of 47too few for a rate	1 of 18too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	35 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 67 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	-100.0%2.1 fewer in 100	+166.7%3.5 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Collectathon and Cozy, 12 to 36 months old: 48 launches.

Launches counted: 481 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 48too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: 35 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 67 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 48 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 481 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 48too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Tiny Bookshop (84.8% of the money): 47 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 470 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 47too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -100.0%2.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 18 of 48.

Launches counted: 181 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 18too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +166.7%3.5 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Collectathon and Cozy, 12 to 36 months old: 48 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 48 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Tiny Bookshop (84.8% of the money): 47 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 18 of 48.

Collectathon is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.

Collectathon through every lens, all prices
Collectathon	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view715 of 750 launches	Without the breakout749 of 750 launches	Last 18 months224 of 750 launches
Launches counted	75031 hits	71530 hits	74930 hits	2249 hits
Earned $100k+	4.1 in 1001 in 24	4.2 in 1001 in 24	4.0 in 1001 in 25	4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings	$569top tenth $28,653+	$584	$558	$454
Chance against standard	the base	+1.5%0.1 more in 100	-3.1%0.1 fewer in 100	-2.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+2.6%$15 more	-1.9%$11 less	-20.2%$115 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Collectathon, 12 to 36 months old: 750 launches.

Launches counted: 75031 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.1 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $569top tenth $28,653+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 35 of 750 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 71530 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $584
Chance against standard: +1.5%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +2.6%$15 more

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, TCG Card Shop Simulator (55.5% of the money): 749 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 74930 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings: $558
Chance against standard: -3.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.9%$11 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 224 of 750.

Launches counted: 2249 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings: $454
Chance against standard: -2.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -20.2%$115 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Collectathon, 12 to 36 months old: 750 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 35 of 750 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, TCG Card Shop Simulator (55.5% of the money): 749 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 224 of 750.

Cozy is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Cozy through every lens, all prices
Cozy	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view516 of 523 launches	Without the breakout522 of 523 launches	Last 18 months209 of 523 launches
Launches counted	52390 hits	51686 hits	52289 hits	20941 hits
Earned $100k+	17.2 in 100	16.7 in 100	17.0 in 100	19.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$2,500top tenth $255,969+	$2,415	$2,500	$2,957
Chance against standard	the base	-3.1%0.5 fewer in 100	-0.9%0.2 fewer in 100	+14.0%2.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-3.4%$85 less	0.0%no change	+18.3%$457 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Cozy, 12 to 36 months old: 523 launches.

Launches counted: 52390 hits
Earned $100k+: 17.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,500top tenth $255,969+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 523 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 51686 hits
Earned $100k+: 16.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,415
Chance against standard: -3.1%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -3.4%$85 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (9.9% of the money): 522 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 52289 hits
Earned $100k+: 17.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,500
Chance against standard: -0.9%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 209 of 523.

Launches counted: 20941 hits
Earned $100k+: 19.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,957
Chance against standard: +14.0%2.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: +18.3%$457 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Cozy, 12 to 36 months old: 523 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 523 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (9.9% of the money): 522 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 209 of 523.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Collectathon + Cozy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.