Niche

Collectathon + Cute

Games tagged both Collectathon and Cute: 233 indie paid launches, 10 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 100+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 100+ launches Reset

Showing Collectathon + Cute priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Collectathon and is about level with Cute; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

47 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

TIEA tie

Tag oneCollectathon

15.9in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds15.9 in 100

Typical earnings$8,758

Launches113 / 18 hits

Pairno reading

--No reading

This pairCollectathon + Cute

--too few
to read

Odds--

Typical earnings--

Launches47

47 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagCute

18.3in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds18.3 in 100

Typical earnings$10,817

Launches563 / 103 hits

Pairno reading

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Cute is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices233 in pair Under $5132 in pair $5 to $1046 in pair $10 to $2047 in pair$20 to $408: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 47 games tagged both Collectathon and Cute priced $10 to $20. 14.9 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 16.7 in 100 for Collectathon-only games and 18.6 in 100 for Cute-only games, so the mix is about level with Collectathon alone and trails Cute alone.

Both: 47 games priced $10 to $20; 14.9 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $6,514.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 47 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Tiny Bookshopleads this pair57.1%

PairTiny Bookshop57.1%

CollectathonTCG Card Shop Simulator56.8%

CuteHello Kitty Island Adventure5.1%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Collectathon + Cute

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Tiny Bookshop earned 57.1% of the estimated first-year money of the 233 Collectathon + Cute launches.
Collectathon is led by TCG Card Shop Simulator, with 56.8% of its money.
Cute is led by Hello Kitty Island Adventure, with 5.1% of its money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Collectathon + Cute is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.

Collectathon + Cute through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view218 of 233 launches	Without the breakout232 of 233 launches	Last 18 months65 of 233 launches
Launches counted	23310 hits	21810 hits	2329 hits	653 hits
Earned $100k+	4.3 in 1001 in 23	4.6 in 1001 in 22	3.9 in 1001 in 26	3 of 65too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$760top tenth $31,634+	$837	$760	$1,001
Chance against standard	the base	+6.9%0.3 more in 100	-9.6%0.4 fewer in 100	+7.5%0.3 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+10.1%$77 more	0.0%no change	+31.7%$241 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Collectathon and Cute, 12 to 36 months old: 233 launches.

Launches counted: 23310 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.3 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings: $760top tenth $31,634+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 15 of 233 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 21810 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.6 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings: $837
Chance against standard: +6.9%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard: +10.1%$77 more

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Tiny Bookshop (57.1% of the money): 232 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 2329 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.9 in 1001 in 26
Typical first-year earnings: $760
Chance against standard: -9.6%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 65 of 233.

Launches counted: 653 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 65too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $1,001
Chance against standard: +7.5%0.3 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +31.7%$241 more; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Collectathon and Cute, 12 to 36 months old: 233 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 15 of 233 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Tiny Bookshop (57.1% of the money): 232 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 65 of 233.

Collectathon is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.

Collectathon through every lens, all prices
Collectathon	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view711 of 745 launches	Without the breakout744 of 745 launches	Last 18 months220 of 745 launches
Launches counted	74531 hits	71130 hits	74430 hits	2208 hits
Earned $100k+	4.2 in 1001 in 24	4.2 in 1001 in 24	4.0 in 1001 in 25	3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings	$572top tenth $25,262+	$630	$572	$567
Chance against standard	the base	+1.4%0.1 more in 100	-3.1%0.1 fewer in 100	-12.6%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+10.1%$58 more	0.0%no change	-0.9%$5 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Collectathon, 12 to 36 months old: 745 launches.

Launches counted: 74531 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $572top tenth $25,262+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 745 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 71130 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $630
Chance against standard: +1.4%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +10.1%$58 more

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, TCG Card Shop Simulator (56.8% of the money): 744 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 74430 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings: $572
Chance against standard: -3.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 220 of 745.

Launches counted: 2208 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings: $567
Chance against standard: -12.6%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.9%$5 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Collectathon, 12 to 36 months old: 745 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 745 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, TCG Card Shop Simulator (56.8% of the money): 744 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 220 of 745.

Cute is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Cute through every lens, all prices
Cute	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view3,654 of 3,829 launches	Without the breakout3,828 of 3,829 launches	Last 18 months1,116 of 3,829 launches
Launches counted	3,829221 hits	3,654202 hits	3,828220 hits	1,11677 hits
Earned $100k+	5.8 in 1001 in 17	5.5 in 1001 in 18	5.7 in 1001 in 17	6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings	$641top tenth $32,649+	$661	$641	$632
Chance against standard	the base	-4.2%0.2 fewer in 100	-0.4%no change	+19.5%1.1 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+3.1%$20 more	0.0%no change	-1.4%$9 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Cute, 12 to 36 months old: 3,829 launches.

Launches counted: 3,829221 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $641top tenth $32,649+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 175 of 3,829 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 3,654202 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.5 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $661
Chance against standard: -4.2%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +3.1%$20 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (5.1% of the money): 3,828 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 3,828220 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.7 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $641
Chance against standard: -0.4%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,116 of 3,829.

Launches counted: 1,11677 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $632
Chance against standard: +19.5%1.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: -1.4%$9 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Cute, 12 to 36 months old: 3,829 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 175 of 3,829 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (5.1% of the money): 3,828 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,116 of 3,829.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Collectathon + Cute moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.