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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Collectathon + Puzzle

Niche

Collectathon + Puzzle

Games tagged both Collectathon and Puzzle: 148 indie paid launches, 4 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Collectathon + Puzzle priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is too small to compare with Collectathon and is too small to compare with Puzzle; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

17 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

TIEA tie
Tag oneCollectathon
15.9in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds15.9 in 100
Typical earnings$8,758
Launches113 / 18 hits
Pairno reading
--No reading
This pairCollectathon + Puzzle
--too few
to read
Odds--
Typical earnings--
Launches17

17 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.

TIEA tie
Tag twoPuzzle
14.3in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds14.3 in 100
Typical earnings$5,070
Launches684 / 98 hits
Pairno reading
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices148 in pairUnder $599 in pair$5 to $1031 in pair$10 to $2017 in pair$20 to $401: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 17 games tagged both Collectathon and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 2 of 17 of them earned $100k+, against 16.7 in 100 for Collectathon-only games and 14.4 in 100 for Puzzle-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Collectathon alone and is too small to compare with Puzzle alone.

Both: 17 games priced $10 to $20; 2 of 17 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 14 of 17 launches · $10k+ 8 of 17 launches · $100k+ 2 of 17 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 17 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Isles of Sea and Skyleads this pair25.1%
PairIsles of Sea and Sky25.1%
CollectathonTCG Card Shop Simulator56.8%
PuzzleBlue Prince7.4%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Collectathon + Puzzle

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Isles of Sea and Sky earned 25.1% of the estimated first-year money of the 148 Collectathon + Puzzle launches.
  • Collectathon is led by TCG Card Shop Simulator, with 56.8% of its money.
  • Puzzle is led by Blue Prince, with 7.4% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Collectathon + Puzzle holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Collectathon + Puzzle through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view141 of 148 launchesWithout the breakout147 of 148 launchesLast 18 months45 of 148 launches
Launches counted1484 hits1414 hits1473 hits451 hits
Earned $100k+4 of 148too few for a rate4 of 141too few for a rate3 of 147too few for a rate1 of 45too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$473top tenth $17,452+$446$451under 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base+5.0%0.1 more in 100; too few to tell-24.5%0.7 fewer in 100-17.8%0.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base-5.7%$27 less-4.7%$22 lessunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Collectathon and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 148 launches.

Launches counted
1484 hits
Earned $100k+
4 of 148too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$473top tenth $17,452+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 148 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1414 hits
Earned $100k+
4 of 141too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$446
Chance against standard
+5.0%0.1 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
-5.7%$27 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Isles of Sea and Sky (25.1% of the money): 147 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1473 hits
Earned $100k+
3 of 147too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$451
Chance against standard
-24.5%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-4.7%$22 less
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 45 of 148.

Launches counted
451 hits
Earned $100k+
1 of 45too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-17.8%0.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Collectathon and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 148 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 148 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Isles of Sea and Sky (25.1% of the money): 147 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 45 of 148.

Collectathon is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.

Collectathon through every lens, all prices
CollectathonBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view711 of 745 launchesWithout the breakout744 of 745 launchesLast 18 months220 of 745 launches
Launches counted74531 hits71130 hits74430 hits2208 hits
Earned $100k+4.2 in 1001 in 244.2 in 1001 in 244.0 in 1001 in 253.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings$572top tenth $25,262+$630$572$567
Chance against standardthe base+1.4%0.1 more in 100-3.1%0.1 fewer in 100-12.6%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base+10.1%$58 more0.0%no change-0.9%$5 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsMoves the answerHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Collectathon, 12 to 36 months old: 745 launches.

Launches counted
74531 hits
Earned $100k+
4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings
$572top tenth $25,262+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 745 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
71130 hits
Earned $100k+
4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings
$630
Chance against standard
+1.4%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+10.1%$58 more
Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, TCG Card Shop Simulator (56.8% of the money): 744 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
74430 hits
Earned $100k+
4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings
$572
Chance against standard
-3.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 220 of 745.

Launches counted
2208 hits
Earned $100k+
3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings
$567
Chance against standard
-12.6%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.9%$5 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Collectathon, 12 to 36 months old: 745 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 745 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, TCG Card Shop Simulator (56.8% of the money): 744 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 220 of 745.

Puzzle holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Puzzle through every lens, all prices
PuzzleBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view5,055 of 5,256 launchesWithout the breakout5,255 of 5,256 launchesLast 18 months1,493 of 5,256 launches
Launches counted5,256185 hits5,055174 hits5,255184 hits1,49359 hits
Earned $100k+3.5 in 1001 in 283.4 in 1001 in 293.5 in 1001 in 294.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings$421top tenth $14,242+$428$421$428
Chance against standardthe base-2.2%0.1 fewer in 100-0.5%no change+12.3%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+1.7%$7 more0.0%no change+1.7%$7 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,256 launches.

Launches counted
5,256185 hits
Earned $100k+
3.5 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings
$421top tenth $14,242+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 5,256 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
5,055174 hits
Earned $100k+
3.4 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings
$428
Chance against standard
-2.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+1.7%$7 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.4% of the money): 5,255 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
5,255184 hits
Earned $100k+
3.5 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings
$421
Chance against standard
-0.5%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,493 of 5,256.

Launches counted
1,49359 hits
Earned $100k+
4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings
$428
Chance against standard
+12.3%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard
+1.7%$7 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,256 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 5,256 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.4% of the money): 5,255 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,493 of 5,256.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Collectathon + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.