Niche

Colorful + Dating Sim

Games tagged both Colorful and Dating Sim: 44 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Colorful + Dating Sim priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Colorful + Dating Sim is too small to compare with Colorful and is too small to compare with Dating Sim: 0 of its 15 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 17.5 in 100 for Colorful and 19.3 in 100 for Dating Sim.

Small sample: 15 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tagColorful

17.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds17.5 in 100

Typical earnings$8,393

Launches372 / 65 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairColorful + Dating Sim

0 of 15launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 15 launches

$1k+14 of 15 launches

$10k+6 of 15 launches

Launches15 / 0 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoDating Sim

19.3in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds19.3 in 100

Typical earnings$9,798

Launches181 / 35 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Colorful is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices44 in pair Under $517 in pair$5 to $107: too few$10 to $2015 in pair$20 to $405: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 15 games tagged both Colorful and Dating Sim priced $10 to $20. 0 of 15 of them earned $100k+, against 18.2 in 100 for Colorful-only games and 21.1 in 100 for Dating Sim-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Colorful alone and is too small to compare with Dating Sim alone.

Both: 15 games priced $10 to $20; 0 of 15 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 14 of 15 launches · $10k+ 6 of 15 launches · $100k+ 0 of 15 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 15 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

DATE A LIVE: Ren Dystopialeads this pair40.7%

PairDATE A LIVE: Ren Dystopia40.7%

ColorfulHello Kitty Island Adventure10.6%

Dating SimLegend of Mortal24.4%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Colorful + Dating Sim

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

DATE A LIVE: Ren Dystopia earned 40.7% of the estimated first-year money of the 44 Colorful + Dating Sim launches.
Colorful is led by Hello Kitty Island Adventure, with 10.6% of its money.
Dating Sim is led by Legend of Mortal, with 24.4% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Colorful + Dating Sim holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Colorful + Dating Sim through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view40 of 44 launches	Without the breakout43 of 44 launches	Last 18 months10 of 44 launches
Launches counted	441 hits	401 hits	430 hits	100 hits
Earned $100k+	1 of 44too few for a rate	1 of 40too few for a rate	0 of 43too few for a rate	0 of 10too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	25 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 59 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+10.0%0.2 more in 100; too few to tell	-100.0%2.3 fewer in 100	-100.0%2.3 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Colorful and Dating Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 44 launches.

Launches counted: 441 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 44too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: 25 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 59 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 44 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 401 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 40too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +10.0%0.2 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, DATE A LIVE: Ren Dystopia (40.7% of the money): 43 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 430 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 43too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -100.0%2.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 10 of 44.

Launches counted: 100 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 10too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -100.0%2.3 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Colorful and Dating Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 44 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 44 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, DATE A LIVE: Ren Dystopia (40.7% of the money): 43 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 10 of 44.

Colorful is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Colorful through every lens, all prices
Colorful	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view2,825 of 2,873 launches	Without the breakout2,872 of 2,873 launches	Last 18 months804 of 2,873 launches
Launches counted	2,873138 hits	2,825133 hits	2,872137 hits	80443 hits
Earned $100k+	4.8 in 1001 in 21	4.7 in 1001 in 21	4.8 in 1001 in 21	5.3 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings	$327top tenth $18,135+	$338	$327	$326
Chance against standard	the base	-2.0%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.7%no change	+11.3%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+3.4%$11 more	0.0%no change	-0.3%$1 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Colorful, 12 to 36 months old: 2,873 launches.

Launches counted: 2,873138 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.8 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings: $327top tenth $18,135+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 48 of 2,873 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 2,825133 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.7 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings: $338
Chance against standard: -2.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +3.4%$11 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (10.6% of the money): 2,872 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 2,872137 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.8 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings: $327
Chance against standard: -0.7%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 804 of 2,873.

Launches counted: 80443 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.3 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $326
Chance against standard: +11.3%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard: -0.3%$1 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Colorful, 12 to 36 months old: 2,873 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 48 of 2,873 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (10.6% of the money): 2,872 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 804 of 2,873.

Dating Sim is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Dating Sim through every lens, all prices
Dating Sim	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view496 of 630 launches	Without the breakout629 of 630 launches	Last 18 months153 of 630 launches
Launches counted	63062 hits	49642 hits	62961 hits	15314 hits
Earned $100k+	9.8 in 1001 in 10	8.5 in 1001 in 12	9.7 in 1001 in 10	9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings	$2,513top tenth $99,496+	$2,359	$2,504	$2,359
Chance against standard	the base	-14.0%1.4 fewer in 100	-1.5%0.1 fewer in 100	-7.0%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-6.1%$154 less	-0.4%$9 less	-6.1%$154 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Dating Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 630 launches.

Launches counted: 63062 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.8 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $2,513top tenth $99,496+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 134 of 630 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 49642 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $2,359
Chance against standard: -14.0%1.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -6.1%$154 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (24.4% of the money): 629 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 62961 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.7 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $2,504
Chance against standard: -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.4%$9 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 153 of 630.

Launches counted: 15314 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $2,359
Chance against standard: -7.0%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -6.1%$154 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Dating Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 630 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 134 of 630 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (24.4% of the money): 629 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 153 of 630.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Colorful + Dating Sim moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.