Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Colorful + Hand-drawn
Colorful + Hand-drawn
Games tagged both Colorful and Hand-drawn: 205 indie paid launches, 9 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Colorful + Hand-drawn priced $10 to $20, last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is level with Colorful and trails Hand-drawn; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Colorful + Hand-drawn trails both its tags: 3 of its 24 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.7 in 100 for Colorful and 17.4 in 100 for Hand-drawn.
Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures. Small sample: 24 launches, 3 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 24 games tagged both Colorful and Hand-drawn priced $10 to $20. 12.5 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.9 for Colorful-only games and 18.2 for Hand-drawn-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 24 games priced $10 to $20; 12.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $15,784.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 24 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Colorful + Hand-drawn is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view202 of 205 launches | Without the breakout204 of 205 launches | Last 18 months103 of 205 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2059 hits | 2029 hits | 2048 hits | 1034 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 | 4.5 in 1001 in 22 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $766top tenth $31,569+ | $787 | $766 | $425 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +2.3%0.1 more in 100 | -11.4%0.5 fewer in 100 | -11.4%0.5 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +2.7%$21 more | 0.0%no change | -44.5%$341 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Colorful and Hand-drawn, 6 to 30 months old: 205 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 205 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Fate/hollow ataraxia REMASTERED (15.7% of the money): 204 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 103 of 205.
Colorful holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Colorful | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,038 of 3,082 launches | Without the breakout3,081 of 3,082 launches | Last 18 months1,714 of 3,082 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,082134 hits | 3,038130 hits | 3,081133 hits | 1,71470 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $364top tenth $17,195+ | $364 | $364 | $303 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -4.7%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -16.8%$61 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Colorful, 6 to 30 months old: 3,082 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 44 of 3,082 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (10.0% of the money): 3,081 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,714 of 3,082.
Hand-drawn holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Hand-drawn | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,125 of 1,182 launches | Without the breakout1,181 of 1,182 launches | Last 18 months593 of 1,182 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,18259 hits | 1,12558 hits | 1,18158 hits | 59324 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 4.0 in 1001 in 25 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $809top tenth $31,652+ | $842 | $809 | $787 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +4.0%0.2 more in 100 | -2.0%0.1 fewer in 100 | -20.0%1.0 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.1%$33 more | 0.0%no change | -2.7%$22 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Hand-drawn, 6 to 30 months old: 1,182 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 57 of 1,182 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Nine Sols (37.2% of the money): 1,181 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 593 of 1,182.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Colorful + Hand-drawn moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.