Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Crafting + Sandbox
Games tagged both Crafting and Sandbox: 155 indie paid launches, 35 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Crafting + Sandbox priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is about level with Crafting and trails Sandbox.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Crafting + Sandbox is about level with Crafting and trails Sandbox: 27.8 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 28.4 in 100 for Crafting and 33.7 in 100 for Sandbox.
That is about 1.4 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 72 games tagged both Crafting and Sandbox priced $10 to $20. 27.8 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 28.8 in 100 for Crafting-only games and 35.2 in 100 for Sandbox-only games, so the mix is about level with Crafting alone and trails Sandbox alone.
Both: 72 games priced $10 to $20; 27.8 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 94 in 100 · $10k+ 71 in 100 · $100k+ 28 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 72 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Crafting + Sandbox holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view151 of 155 launches | Without the breakout154 of 155 launches | Last 18 months53 of 155 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 15535 hits | 15134 hits | 15434 hits | 539 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 22.6 in 100 | 22.5 in 100 | 22.1 in 100 | 17.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $9,269top tenth $704,887+ | $9,269 | $9,269 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | -2.2%0.5 fewer in 100 | -24.8%5.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Crafting and Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 155 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 155 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Soulmask (17.9% of the money): 154 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 53 of 155.
Crafting is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Crafting | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view626 of 648 launches | Without the breakout647 of 648 launches | Last 18 months194 of 648 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 648115 hits | 626113 hits | 647114 hits | 19427 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 17.7 in 100 | 18.1 in 100 | 17.6 in 100 | 13.9 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,684top tenth $314,719+ | $2,780 | $2,607 | $2,184 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.7%0.3 more in 100 | -0.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | -21.6%3.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.6%$96 more | -2.9%$77 less | -18.6%$500 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Crafting, 12 to 36 months old: 648 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 22 of 648 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (36.1% of the money): 647 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 194 of 648.
Sandbox is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Sandbox | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,187 of 1,229 launches | Without the breakout1,228 of 1,229 launches | Last 18 months380 of 1,229 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,229210 hits | 1,187198 hits | 1,228209 hits | 38062 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 17.1 in 100 | 16.7 in 100 | 17.0 in 100 | 16.3 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,212top tenth $299,853+ | $2,212 | $2,212 | $1,950 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.4%0.4 fewer in 100 | -0.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -4.5%0.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -11.8%$262 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 1,229 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 1,229 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (22.4% of the money): 1,228 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 380 of 1,229.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Crafting + Sandbox moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.