Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
CRPG + RPG
Games tagged both CRPG and RPG: 245 indie paid launches, 18 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing CRPG + RPG priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails CRPG and is level with RPG; priced $10 to $20 it beats CRPG and trails RPG.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
CRPG + RPG beats CRPG and trails RPG: 18.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.9 in 100 for CRPG and 18.5 in 100 for RPG.
That is about 1.0 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 50 games tagged both CRPG and RPG priced $10 to $20. 18.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 7.7 for CRPG-only games and 18.5 for RPG-only games, so the mix beats CRPG alone and trails RPG alone.
Both: 50 games priced $10 to $20; 18.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $10,525.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 50 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience-sensitive. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
CRPG + RPG is audience-sensitive: West-facing view moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view200 of 245 launches | Without the breakout244 of 245 launches | Last 18 months127 of 245 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 24518 hits | 20017 hits | 24417 hits | 1279 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $647top tenth $70,435+ | $809 | $647 | $546 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +16.4%1.2 more in 100 | -4.1%0.3 fewer in 100 | -2.7%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +25.0%$162 more | 0.0%no change | -15.6%$101 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both CRPG and RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 245 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 45 of 245 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Drova - Forsaken Kin (26.5% of the money): 244 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 127 of 245.
CRPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| CRPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view242 of 291 launches | Without the breakout290 of 291 launches | Last 18 months152 of 291 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 29123 hits | 24221 hits | 29022 hits | 15210 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 | 8.7 in 1001 in 11 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $809top tenth $72,882+ | $1,011 | $809 | $606 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +10.1%0.8 more in 100 | -3.8%0.3 fewer in 100 | -16.5%1.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +25.0%$202 more | 0.0%no change | -25.1%$203 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged CRPG, 6 to 30 months old: 291 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 49 of 291 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Drova - Forsaken Kin (23.2% of the money): 290 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 152 of 291.
RPG holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| RPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,513 of 4,151 launches | Without the breakout4,150 of 4,151 launches | Last 18 months2,257 of 4,151 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,151319 hits | 3,513268 hits | 4,150318 hits | 2,257162 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $708top tenth $62,744+ | $728 | $708 | $607 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -6.5%0.5 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +2.8%$20 more | 0.0%no change | -14.3%$101 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 4,151 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 638 of 4,151 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (16.6% of the money): 4,150 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,257 of 4,151.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when CRPG + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.