Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Cute + Exploration
Cute + Exploration
Games tagged both Cute and Exploration: 539 indie paid launches, 39 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Cute + Exploration priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Cute and trails Exploration; priced $10 to $20 it is level with Cute and trails Exploration.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Cute + Exploration is level with Cute and trails Exploration: 16.5 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.3 in 100 for Cute and 20.1 in 100 for Exploration.
That is about 0.9 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 109 games tagged both Cute and Exploration priced $10 to $20. 16.5 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 16.2 for Cute-only games and 20.6 for Exploration-only games, so the mix is level with Cute alone and trails Exploration alone.
Both: 109 games priced $10 to $20; 16.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $12,749.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 109 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Cute + Exploration is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view514 of 539 launches | Without the breakout538 of 539 launches | Last 18 months270 of 539 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 53939 hits | 51438 hits | 53838 hits | 27014 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 7.4 in 1001 in 14 | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,456top tenth $50,242+ | $1,516 | $1,456 | $1,456 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +2.8%0.2 more in 100 | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -27.8%2.0 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.1%$60 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Cute and Exploration, 6 to 30 months old: 539 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 539 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (21.9% of the money): 538 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 270 of 539.
Cute holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Cute | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,089 of 4,279 launches | Without the breakout4,278 of 4,279 launches | Last 18 months2,326 of 4,279 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,279218 hits | 4,089200 hits | 4,278217 hits | 2,326111 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $725top tenth $28,533+ | $727 | $725 | $642 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.9%0.2 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -5.9%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.3%$2 more | 0.0%no change | -11.4%$83 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cute, 6 to 30 months old: 4,279 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 190 of 4,279 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mewgenics (15.9% of the money): 4,278 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,326 of 4,279.
Exploration holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Exploration | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,867 of 5,078 launches | Without the breakout5,077 of 5,078 launches | Last 18 months2,727 of 5,078 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,078397 hits | 4,867377 hits | 5,077396 hits | 2,727190 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $908top tenth $58,608+ | $909 | $902 | $728 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -10.3%0.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.1%$1 more | -0.7%$6 less | -19.8%$180 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 6 to 30 months old: 5,078 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 211 of 5,078 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (20.7% of the money): 5,077 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,727 of 5,078.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Cute + Exploration moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.