Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Dark + Horror
Games tagged both Dark and Horror: 706 indie paid launches, 43 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Dark + Horror priced $10 to $20, last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Dark and is about level with Horror; priced $10 to $20 it beats both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Dark + Horror beats both its tags: 28.8 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 24.2 in 100 for Dark and 22.0 in 100 for Horror.
That is about 1.4 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 66 games tagged both Dark and Horror priced $10 to $20. 28.8 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 20.5 in 100 for Dark-only games and 20.4 in 100 for Horror-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 66 games priced $10 to $20; 28.8 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 89 in 100 · $10k+ 61 in 100 · $100k+ 29 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 66 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Dark + Horror holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view693 of 706 launches | Without the breakout705 of 706 launches | Last 18 months188 of 706 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 70643 hits | 69342 hits | 70542 hits | 18811 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.1 in 1001 in 16 | 6.1 in 1001 in 17 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,007top tenth $35,621+ | $1,003 | $1,007 | $1,022 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.5%no change | -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | -3.9%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -0.4%$4 less | 0.0%no change | +1.5%$15 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Dark and Horror, 12 to 36 months old: 706 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 706 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, No, I'm not a Human (20.8% of the money): 705 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 188 of 706.
Dark holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Dark | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,201 of 1,224 launches | Without the breakout1,223 of 1,224 launches | Last 18 months343 of 1,224 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,22473 hits | 1,20171 hits | 1,22372 hits | 34320 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $884top tenth $36,744+ | $884 | $862 | $884 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | -2.5%$22 less | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Dark, 12 to 36 months old: 1,224 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 23 of 1,224 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, No, I'm not a Human (12.9% of the money): 1,223 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 343 of 1,224.
Horror holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Horror | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,992 of 3,140 launches | Without the breakout3,139 of 3,140 launches | Last 18 months884 of 3,140 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,140186 hits | 2,992181 hits | 3,139185 hits | 88449 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,007top tenth $37,527+ | $1,011 | $1,007 | $893 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +2.1%0.1 more in 100 | -0.5%no change | -6.4%0.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.4%$4 more | 0.0%no change | -11.3%$114 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Horror, 12 to 36 months old: 3,140 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 148 of 3,140 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Lethal Company (18.3% of the money): 3,139 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 884 of 3,140.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Dark + Horror moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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