Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Dark + Horror
Games tagged both Dark and Horror: 705 indie paid launches, 40 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Dark + Horror priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Dark and is about level with Horror; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
66 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.
66 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 66 games tagged both Dark and Horror priced $10 to $20. 25.8 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 18.1 in 100 for Dark-only games and 17.6 in 100 for Horror-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 66 games priced $10 to $20; 25.8 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $12,096.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 66 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Dark + Horror holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view692 of 705 launches | Without the breakout704 of 705 launches | Last 18 months186 of 705 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 70540 hits | 69239 hits | 70439 hits | 18610 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 | 5.6 in 1001 in 18 | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,011top tenth $34,906+ | $1,002 | $1,011 | $1,030 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.7%no change | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -5.2%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -0.9%$9 less | 0.0%no change | +1.9%$19 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Dark and Horror, 12 to 36 months old: 705 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 705 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, No, I'm not a Human (19.6% of the money): 704 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 186 of 705.
Dark holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Dark | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,200 of 1,223 launches | Without the breakout1,222 of 1,223 launches | Last 18 months340 of 1,223 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,22367 hits | 1,20065 hits | 1,22266 hits | 34019 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 | 5.4 in 1001 in 18 | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 | 5.6 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $843top tenth $31,969+ | $844 | $843 | $861 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +2.0%0.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.1%$1 more | 0.0%no change | +2.1%$18 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Dark, 12 to 36 months old: 1,223 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 23 of 1,223 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, No, I'm not a Human (12.2% of the money): 1,222 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 340 of 1,223.
Horror holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Horror | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,989 of 3,137 launches | Without the breakout3,136 of 3,137 launches | Last 18 months883 of 3,137 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,137173 hits | 2,989168 hits | 3,136172 hits | 88346 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 | 5.6 in 1001 in 18 | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,010top tenth $33,268+ | $1,021 | $1,010 | $918 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.9%0.1 more in 100 | -0.5%no change | -5.5%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.1%$11 more | 0.0%no change | -9.1%$92 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Horror, 12 to 36 months old: 3,137 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 148 of 3,137 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Lethal Company (20.0% of the money): 3,136 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 883 of 3,137.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Dark + Horror moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.