Genres

Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

Settings
Text size
Game Market DataBuild what sells
Live games
192,217
on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Dating Sim + First-Person

Niche

Dating Sim + First-Person

Games tagged both Dating Sim and First-Person: 76 indie paid launches, 8 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Dating Sim + First-Person priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Dating Sim and beats First-Person; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

14 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

2NDRunner-up
Tag oneDating Sim
19.4in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds19.4 in 100
Typical earnings$8,738
Launches186 / 36 hits
Pairno reading
--No reading
This pairDating Sim + First-Person
--too few
to read
Odds--
Typical earnings--
Launches14

14 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.

1STWinner
Tag twomood tagFirst-Person
24.1in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds24.1 in 100
Typical earnings$11,290
Launches532 / 128 hits
Pairno reading
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20First-Person is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 14 games tagged both Dating Sim and First-Person priced $10 to $20. 5 of 14 of them earned $100k+, against 18.0 in 100 for Dating Sim-only games and 23.7 in 100 for First-Person-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Dating Sim alone and is too small to compare with First-Person alone.

Both: 14 games priced $10 to $20; 5 of 14 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 14 of 14 launches · $10k+ 11 of 14 launches · $100k+ 5 of 14 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 14 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Love is All Around 2leads this pair15.1%
PairLove is All Around 215.1%
Dating SimLegend of Mortal22.0%
First-PersonSchedule I17.7%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Dating Sim + First-Person

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Love is All Around 2 earned 15.1% of the estimated first-year money of the 76 Dating Sim + First-Person launches.
  • Dating Sim is led by Legend of Mortal, with 22.0% of its money.
  • First-Person is led by Schedule I, with 17.7% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Dating Sim + First-Person holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Dating Sim + First-Person through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view48 of 76 launchesWithout the breakout75 of 76 launchesLast 18 months16 of 76 launches
Launches counted768 hits485 hits757 hits162 hits
Earned $100k+10.5 in 10010.4 in 1009.3 in 1001 in 112 of 16too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+37 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 74 in 100under 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100-11.3%1.2 fewer in 100+18.8%2.0 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe baseunder 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Dating Sim and First-Person, 12 to 36 months old: 76 launches.

Launches counted
768 hits
Earned $100k+
10.5 in 100
Chance of $10k+
37 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 74 in 100
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 28 of 76 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
485 hits
Earned $100k+
10.4 in 100
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Love is All Around 2 (15.1% of the money): 75 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
757 hits
Earned $100k+
9.3 in 1001 in 11
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-11.3%1.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 16 of 76.

Launches counted
162 hits
Earned $100k+
2 of 16too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+18.8%2.0 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Dating Sim and First-Person, 12 to 36 months old: 76 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 28 of 76 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Love is All Around 2 (15.1% of the money): 75 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 16 of 76.

Dating Sim is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Dating Sim through every lens, all prices
Dating SimBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view496 of 629 launchesWithout the breakout628 of 629 launchesLast 18 months166 of 629 launches
Launches counted62963 hits49642 hits62862 hits16618 hits
Earned $100k+10.0 in 1008.5 in 1001 in 129.9 in 1001 in 1010.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$2,442top tenth $101,644+$2,276$2,442$2,359
Chance against standardthe base-15.5%1.5 fewer in 100-1.4%0.1 fewer in 100+8.3%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base-6.8%$166 less0.0%no change-3.4%$83 less
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Dating Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 629 launches.

Launches counted
62963 hits
Earned $100k+
10.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,442top tenth $101,644+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 133 of 629 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
49642 hits
Earned $100k+
8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$2,276
Chance against standard
-15.5%1.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-6.8%$166 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (22.0% of the money): 628 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
62862 hits
Earned $100k+
9.9 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings
$2,442
Chance against standard
-1.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 166 of 629.

Launches counted
16618 hits
Earned $100k+
10.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,359
Chance against standard
+8.3%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard
-3.4%$83 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Dating Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 629 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 133 of 629 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (22.0% of the money): 628 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 166 of 629.

First-Person holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

First-Person through every lens, all prices
First-PersonBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view3,583 of 3,714 launchesWithout the breakout3,713 of 3,714 launchesLast 18 months1,097 of 3,714 launches
Launches counted3,714262 hits3,583254 hits3,713261 hits1,09785 hits
Earned $100k+7.1 in 1001 in 147.1 in 1001 in 147.0 in 1001 in 147.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings$817top tenth $44,279+$827$811$766
Chance against standardthe base+0.5%no change-0.4%no change+9.8%0.7 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+1.2%$10 more-0.7%$6 less-6.2%$51 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 12 to 36 months old: 3,714 launches.

Launches counted
3,714262 hits
Earned $100k+
7.1 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$817top tenth $44,279+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 131 of 3,714 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
3,583254 hits
Earned $100k+
7.1 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$827
Chance against standard
+0.5%no change
Typical against standard
+1.2%$10 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.7% of the money): 3,713 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
3,713261 hits
Earned $100k+
7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$811
Chance against standard
-0.4%no change
Typical against standard
-0.7%$6 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,097 of 3,714.

Launches counted
1,09785 hits
Earned $100k+
7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$766
Chance against standard
+9.8%0.7 more in 100
Typical against standard
-6.2%$51 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 12 to 36 months old: 3,714 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 131 of 3,714 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.7% of the money): 3,713 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,097 of 3,714.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Dating Sim + First-Person moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.