Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Deckbuilding + Roguelite
Deckbuilding + Roguelite
Games tagged both Deckbuilding and Roguelite: 255 indie paid launches, 29 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Deckbuilding + Roguelite priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Deckbuilding + Roguelite is about level with Deckbuilding and is about level with Roguelite: 28.6 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 28.6 in 100 for Deckbuilding and 29.4 in 100 for Roguelite.
That is about 1.4 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 77 games tagged both Deckbuilding and Roguelite priced $10 to $20. 28.6 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 28.6 in 100 for Deckbuilding-only games and 29.6 in 100 for Roguelite-only games, so the mix is about level with Deckbuilding alone and is about level with Roguelite alone.
Both: 77 games priced $10 to $20; 28.6 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 97 in 100 · $10k+ 74 in 100 · $100k+ 29 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 77 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Deckbuilding + Roguelite is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view236 of 255 launches | Without the breakout254 of 255 launches | Last 18 months91 of 255 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 25529 hits | 23628 hits | 25428 hits | 917 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 11.4 in 100 | 11.9 in 100 | 11.0 in 100 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $4,388top tenth $126,902+ | $5,229 | $4,388 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +4.3%0.5 more in 100 | -3.1%0.3 fewer in 100 | -32.4%3.7 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +19.2%$841 more | 0.0%no change | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Deckbuilding and Roguelite, 12 to 36 months old: 255 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 19 of 255 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (55.6% of the money): 254 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 91 of 255.
Deckbuilding holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Deckbuilding | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view535 of 577 launches | Without the breakout576 of 577 launches | Last 18 months199 of 577 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 57766 hits | 53561 hits | 57665 hits | 19919 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 11.4 in 100 | 11.4 in 100 | 11.3 in 100 | 9.5 in 1001 in 10 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,232top tenth $128,583+ | $2,653 | $2,232 | $1,916 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.3%no change | -1.3%0.2 fewer in 100 | -16.5%1.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +18.9%$421 more | 0.0%no change | -14.2%$316 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Deckbuilding, 12 to 36 months old: 577 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 577 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (39.1% of the money): 576 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 199 of 577.
Roguelite holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Roguelite | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,871 of 2,007 launches | Without the breakout2,006 of 2,007 launches | Last 18 months611 of 2,007 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,007186 hits | 1,871174 hits | 2,006185 hits | 61158 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.3 in 1001 in 11 | 9.3 in 1001 in 11 | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 | 9.5 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,150top tenth $91,243+ | $1,207 | $1,150 | $1,177 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.3%no change | -0.5%no change | +2.4%0.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +5.0%$57 more | 0.0%no change | +2.3%$27 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelite, 12 to 36 months old: 2,007 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 136 of 2,007 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (14.6% of the money): 2,006 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 611 of 2,007.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Deckbuilding + Roguelite moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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