Niche

Detective + Logic

Games tagged both Detective and Logic: 43 indie paid launches, 4 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Detective + Logic priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Detective + Logic is too small to compare with Detective and is too small to compare with Logic: 3 of its 11 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 23.5 in 100 for Detective and 15.1 in 100 for Logic.

Small sample: 11 launches, 3 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneDetective

23.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds23.5 in 100

Typical earnings$12,958

Launches115 / 27 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairDetective + Logic

3 of 11launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds3 of 11 launches

$1k+7 of 11 launches

$10k+6 of 11 launches

Launches11 / 3 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIETied

Tag twoLogic

15.1in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds15.1 in 100

$1k+75 in 100

$10k+43 in 100

Launches93 / 14 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices43 in pair Under $519 in pair $5 to $1012 in pair $10 to $2011 in pair$20 to $401: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 11 games tagged both Detective and Logic priced $10 to $20. 3 of 11 of them earned $100k+, against 23.1 in 100 for Detective-only games and 13.4 in 100 for Logic-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Detective alone and is too small to compare with Logic alone.

Both: 11 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 11 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 7 of 11 launches · $10k+ 6 of 11 launches · $100k+ 3 of 11 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 11 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Murders on the Yangtze Riverleads this pair52.3%

PairMurders on the Yangtze River52.3%

DetectiveThe Precinct13.9%

LogicMurders on the Yangtze River18.1%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Detective + Logic

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Murders on the Yangtze River earned 52.3% of the estimated first-year money of the 43 Detective + Logic launches.
Detective is led by The Precinct, with 13.9% of its money.
It also leads Logic, with 18.1% of that tag's money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Detective + Logic is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money.

Detective + Logic through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view36 of 43 launches	Without the breakout42 of 43 launches	Last 18 months12 of 43 launches
Launches counted	434 hits	362 hits	423 hits	121 hits
Earned $100k+	4 of 43too few for a rate	2 of 36too few for a rate	3 of 42too few for a rate	1 of 12too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	21 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 42 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	-40.3%3.7 fewer in 100; too few to tell	-23.2%2.2 fewer in 100	-10.4%1.0 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Detective and Logic, 12 to 36 months old: 43 launches.

Launches counted: 434 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 43too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: 21 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 42 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 43 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 362 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 36too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -40.3%3.7 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Murders on the Yangtze River (52.3% of the money): 42 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 423 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 42too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -23.2%2.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 12 of 43.

Launches counted: 121 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 12too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -10.4%1.0 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Detective and Logic, 12 to 36 months old: 43 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 43 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Murders on the Yangtze River (52.3% of the money): 42 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 12 of 43.

Detective is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Detective through every lens, all prices
Detective	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view484 of 533 launches	Without the breakout532 of 533 launches	Last 18 months135 of 533 launches
Launches counted	53350 hits	48441 hits	53249 hits	13517 hits
Earned $100k+	9.4 in 1001 in 11	8.5 in 1001 in 12	9.2 in 1001 in 11	12.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$1,040top tenth $90,096+	$1,093	$1,040	$1,544
Chance against standard	the base	-9.7%0.9 fewer in 100	-1.8%0.2 fewer in 100	+34.2%3.2 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+5.1%$53 more	0.0%no change	+48.5%$504 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Detective, 12 to 36 months old: 533 launches.

Launches counted: 53350 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.4 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,040top tenth $90,096+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 49 of 533 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 48441 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,093
Chance against standard: -9.7%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +5.1%$53 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Precinct (13.9% of the money): 532 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 53249 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,040
Chance against standard: -1.8%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 135 of 533.

Launches counted: 13517 hits
Earned $100k+: 12.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,544
Chance against standard: +34.2%3.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: +48.5%$504 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Detective, 12 to 36 months old: 533 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 49 of 533 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, The Precinct (13.9% of the money): 532 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 135 of 533.

Logic is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Logic through every lens, all prices
Logic	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view878 of 895 launches	Without the breakout894 of 895 launches	Last 18 months237 of 895 launches
Launches counted	89525 hits	87822 hits	89424 hits	23712 hits
Earned $100k+	2.8 in 1001 in 36	2.5 in 1001 in 40	2.7 in 1001 in 37	5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings	$323top tenth $11,366+	$325	$323	$218
Chance against standard	the base	-10.3%0.3 fewer in 100	-3.9%0.1 fewer in 100	+81.3%2.3 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+0.6%$2 more	0.0%no change	-32.5%$105 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Logic, 12 to 36 months old: 895 launches.

Launches counted: 89525 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.8 in 1001 in 36
Typical first-year earnings: $323top tenth $11,366+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 17 of 895 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 87822 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.5 in 1001 in 40
Typical first-year earnings: $325
Chance against standard: -10.3%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +0.6%$2 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Murders on the Yangtze River (18.1% of the money): 894 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 89424 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.7 in 1001 in 37
Typical first-year earnings: $323
Chance against standard: -3.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 237 of 895.

Launches counted: 23712 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $218
Chance against standard: +81.3%2.3 more in 100
Typical against standard: -32.5%$105 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Logic, 12 to 36 months old: 895 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 17 of 895 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Murders on the Yangtze River (18.1% of the money): 894 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 237 of 895.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Detective + Logic moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.