Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Detective + Puzzle
Games tagged both Detective and Puzzle: 269 indie paid launches, 25 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Detective + Puzzle priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Detective and beats Puzzle; priced $10 to $20 it beats both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Detective + Puzzle beats both its tags: 26.8 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 22.6 in 100 for Detective and 14.3 in 100 for Puzzle.
That is about 1.3 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 56 games tagged both Detective and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 26.8 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 18.0 in 100 for Detective-only games and 13.2 in 100 for Puzzle-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 56 games priced $10 to $20; 26.8 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 79 in 100 · $10k+ 45 in 100 · $100k+ 27 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 56 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Detective + Puzzle holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view235 of 269 launches | Without the breakout268 of 269 launches | Last 18 months61 of 269 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 26925 hits | 23522 hits | 26824 hits | 616 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.3 in 1001 in 11 | 9.4 in 1001 in 11 | 9.0 in 1001 in 11 | 9.8 in 1001 in 10 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,081top tenth $95,812+ | $1,103 | $1,081 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.7%0.1 more in 100 | -3.6%0.3 fewer in 100 | +5.8%0.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +2.0%$22 more | 0.0%no change | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Detective and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 269 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 269 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Murders on the Yangtze River (14.4% of the money): 268 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 61 of 269.
Detective is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Detective | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view467 of 517 launches | Without the breakout516 of 517 launches | Last 18 months127 of 517 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 51748 hits | 46740 hits | 51647 hits | 12711 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.3 in 1001 in 11 | 8.6 in 1001 in 12 | 9.1 in 1001 in 11 | 8.7 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,024top tenth $89,962+ | $1,086 | $1,024 | $1,073 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -7.7%0.7 fewer in 100 | -1.9%0.2 fewer in 100 | -6.7%0.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +6.1%$62 more | 0.0%no change | +4.8%$49 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Detective, 12 to 36 months old: 517 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 50 of 517 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Precinct (14.7% of the money): 516 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 127 of 517.
Puzzle holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Puzzle | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,055 of 5,256 launches | Without the breakout5,255 of 5,256 launches | Last 18 months1,493 of 5,256 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,256185 hits | 5,055174 hits | 5,255184 hits | 1,49359 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.5 in 1001 in 28 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 4.0 in 1001 in 25 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $421top tenth $14,242+ | $428 | $421 | $428 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.5%no change | +12.3%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.7%$7 more | 0.0%no change | +1.7%$7 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,256 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 5,256 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.4% of the money): 5,255 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,493 of 5,256.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Detective + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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