Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Difficult / Action Roguelike
Difficult + Action Roguelike: a typical launch earns $2,426 in its first year
That is the median of 72 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 12 of 131 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 11.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 9% on the year before: 73 against 80.
- Price
- $2,426 median of 72 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +14.3% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 73 80 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 214 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 644 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.20%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.12% to 0.31% | 22 ranked of 214 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,051 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.04xhits against expected | 0.74x to 1.50x | 131 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,525 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| +34%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −10% to +86% | 30 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #423 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| −10%review growth against same-age games | −27% to +12% | 30 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #2,417 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 131
- Hit rate
- 9.2%8.1% to 18.7%
- Expected rate
- 8.7%
- Against expected
- 1.04x0.74x to 1.50x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
131 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $101
- Median
- $2,262
- Top tenth
- $90,546
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −9%
- Against Steam
- −32%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- DifficultNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- Action RoguelikeGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Rabbit and Steel (opens the Steam store)2024 · 10,195 reviews, 96% positiveest. $2.9M
- Tears of Metal (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,397 reviews, 85% positiveest. $1.2M
- Pathogenic (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,345 reviews, 92% positiveest. $829k
- Garden of Witches (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,058 reviews, 92% positiveest. $729k
- Lucky Tower Ultimate (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,292 reviews, 94% positiveest. $653k
- KIBORG (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,235 reviews, 84% positiveest. $625k
- Carmageddon: Rogue Shift (opens the Steam store)2026 · 756 reviews, 62% positiveest. $612k
- Primordialis (opens the Steam store)2025 · 985 reviews, 93% positiveest. $399k
More with Difficult
pairs with Difficult- RPG + Difficult$8,09240 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Difficult$3,64173 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Difficult$3,03570 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Souls-like$2,12341 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Bullet Hell$2,12150 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Difficult$2,11955 launches priced, 63 releases in 12 months
More with Action Roguelike
pairs with Action Roguelike- Co-op + Action Roguelike$10,63341 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Action Roguelike + Bullet Heaven$10,41754 launches priced, 217 releases in 12 months
- Online Co-Op + Action Roguelike$7,94636 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
- Female Protagonist + Action Roguelike$6,55637 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- Isometric + Action Roguelike$5,46233 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
- Dark Fantasy + Action Roguelike$4,04545 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.