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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Exploration + Roguelike

Niche

Exploration + Roguelike

Games tagged both Exploration and Roguelike: 141 indie paid launches, 12 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Exploration + Roguelike priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Exploration and is about level with Roguelike; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

37 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

2NDRunner-up
Tag onemood tagExploration
20.8in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds20.8 in 100
Typical earnings$12,514
Launches878 / 183 hits
Pairno reading
--No reading
This pairExploration + Roguelike
--too few
to read
Odds--
Typical earnings--
Launches37

37 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

1STWinner
Tag twoRoguelike
27.6in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds27.6 in 100
Typical earnings$21,406
Launches410 / 113 hits
Pairno reading
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Exploration is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices141 in pairUnder $558 in pair$5 to $1043 in pair$10 to $2037 in pair$20 to $403: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 37 games tagged both Exploration and Roguelike priced $10 to $20. 24.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 20.7 in 100 for Exploration-only games and 27.9 in 100 for Roguelike-only games, so the mix beats Exploration alone and trails Roguelike alone.

Both: 37 games priced $10 to $20; 24.3 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 84 in 100 · $10k+ 49 in 100 · $100k+ 24 in 100.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 37 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Wizard with a Gunleads this pair28.7%
PairWizard with a Gun28.7%
ExplorationHollow Knight: Silksong22.3%
RoguelikeHades II16.6%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Exploration + Roguelike

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Wizard with a Gun earned 28.7% of the estimated first-year money of the 141 Exploration + Roguelike launches.
  • Exploration is led by Hollow Knight: Silksong, with 22.3% of its money.
  • Roguelike is led by Hades II, with 16.6% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Exploration + Roguelike holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Exploration + Roguelike through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view133 of 141 launchesWithout the breakout140 of 141 launchesLast 18 months45 of 141 launches
Launches counted14112 hits13312 hits14011 hits454 hits
Earned $100k+8.5 in 1001 in 129.0 in 1001 in 117.9 in 1001 in 134 of 45too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$1,043top tenth $68,088+$1,115$1,043under 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base+6.0%0.5 more in 100-7.7%0.7 fewer in 100+4.4%0.4 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base+6.9%$72 more0.0%no changeunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Exploration and Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 141 launches.

Launches counted
14112 hits
Earned $100k+
8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,043top tenth $68,088+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 141 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
13312 hits
Earned $100k+
9.0 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$1,115
Chance against standard
+6.0%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard
+6.9%$72 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Wizard with a Gun (28.7% of the money): 140 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
14011 hits
Earned $100k+
7.9 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$1,043
Chance against standard
-7.7%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 45 of 141.

Launches counted
454 hits
Earned $100k+
4 of 45too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+4.4%0.4 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Exploration and Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 141 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 141 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Wizard with a Gun (28.7% of the money): 140 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 45 of 141.

Exploration holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Exploration through every lens, all prices
ExplorationBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view4,381 of 4,582 launchesWithout the breakout4,581 of 4,582 launchesLast 18 months1,268 of 4,582 launches
Launches counted4,582382 hits4,381366 hits4,581381 hits1,268105 hits
Earned $100k+8.3 in 1001 in 128.4 in 1001 in 128.3 in 1001 in 128.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings$877top tenth $65,025+$901$877$884
Chance against standardthe base+0.2%no change-0.2%no change-0.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base+2.7%$24 more0.0%no change+0.8%$7 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 12 to 36 months old: 4,582 launches.

Launches counted
4,582382 hits
Earned $100k+
8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$877top tenth $65,025+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 4,582 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
4,381366 hits
Earned $100k+
8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$901
Chance against standard
+0.2%no change
Typical against standard
+2.7%$24 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (22.3% of the money): 4,581 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
4,581381 hits
Earned $100k+
8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$877
Chance against standard
-0.2%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,268 of 4,582.

Launches counted
1,268105 hits
Earned $100k+
8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$884
Chance against standard
-0.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+0.8%$7 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 12 to 36 months old: 4,582 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 4,582 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (22.3% of the money): 4,581 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,268 of 4,582.

Roguelike holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Roguelike through every lens, all prices
RoguelikeBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,939 of 2,082 launchesWithout the breakout2,081 of 2,082 launchesLast 18 months640 of 2,082 launches
Launches counted2,082179 hits1,939165 hits2,081178 hits64056 hits
Earned $100k+8.6 in 1001 in 128.5 in 1001 in 128.6 in 1001 in 128.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings$1,034top tenth $75,603+$1,112$1,032$1,053
Chance against standardthe base-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100-0.5%no change+1.8%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+7.5%$78 more-0.2%$2 less+1.8%$19 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 2,082 launches.

Launches counted
2,082179 hits
Earned $100k+
8.6 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,034top tenth $75,603+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 143 of 2,082 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,939165 hits
Earned $100k+
8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,112
Chance against standard
-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+7.5%$78 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (16.6% of the money): 2,081 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
2,081178 hits
Earned $100k+
8.6 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,032
Chance against standard
-0.5%no change
Typical against standard
-0.2%$2 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 640 of 2,082.

Launches counted
64056 hits
Earned $100k+
8.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$1,053
Chance against standard
+1.8%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
+1.8%$19 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 2,082 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 143 of 2,082 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (16.6% of the money): 2,081 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 640 of 2,082.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Exploration + Roguelike moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.