Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Exploration + Sci-fi
Exploration + Sci-fi
Games tagged both Exploration and Sci-fi: 226 indie paid launches, 40 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Exploration + Sci-fi priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Exploration + Sci-fi beats both its tags: 26.9 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 20.6 in 100 for Exploration and 19.6 in 100 for Sci-fi.
That is about 1.3 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 67 games tagged both Exploration and Sci-fi priced $10 to $20. 26.9 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 20.0 in 100 for Exploration-only games and 16.8 in 100 for Sci-fi-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 67 games priced $10 to $20; 26.9 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 87 in 100 · $10k+ 58 in 100 · $100k+ 27 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 67 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Exploration + Sci-fi holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view222 of 226 launches | Without the breakout225 of 226 launches | Last 18 months56 of 226 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 22640 hits | 22239 hits | 22539 hits | 568 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 17.7 in 100 | 17.6 in 100 | 17.3 in 100 | 14.3 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,058top tenth $297,154+ | $2,058 | $1,930 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | -2.1%0.4 fewer in 100 | -19.3%3.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | -6.2%$128 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Exploration and Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 226 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 226 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Abiotic Factor (24.6% of the money): 225 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 56 of 226.
Exploration holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Exploration | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,432 of 4,635 launches | Without the breakout4,634 of 4,635 launches | Last 18 months1,277 of 4,635 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,635375 hits | 4,432357 hits | 4,634374 hits | 1,27799 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $876top tenth $64,081+ | $894 | $876 | $858 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.4%no change | -0.2%no change | -4.2%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +2.1%$18 more | 0.0%no change | -2.1%$18 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 12 to 36 months old: 4,635 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 203 of 4,635 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (23.3% of the money): 4,634 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,277 of 4,635.
Sci-fi holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Sci-fi | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,208 of 1,242 launches | Without the breakout1,241 of 1,242 launches | Last 18 months323 of 1,242 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,242111 hits | 1,208107 hits | 1,241110 hits | 32326 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.9 in 1001 in 11 | 8.9 in 1001 in 11 | 8.9 in 1001 in 11 | 8.0 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $545top tenth $74,428+ | $545 | $545 | $579 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | -9.9%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +6.2%$34 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 1,242 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 1,242 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Abiotic Factor (12.7% of the money): 1,241 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 323 of 1,242.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Exploration + Sci-fi moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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