Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Exploration + Space
Exploration + Space
Games tagged both Exploration and Space: 145 indie paid launches, 11 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Exploration + Space priced $10 to $20, last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Exploration + Space is level with Exploration and beats Space: 20.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 20.1 in 100 for Exploration and 16.0 in 100 for Space.
That is about 1.1 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 30 games tagged both Exploration and Space priced $10 to $20. 20.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 20.1 for Exploration-only games and 14.6 for Space-only games, so the mix is level with Exploration alone and beats Space alone.
Both: 30 games priced $10 to $20; 20.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $20,959.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 30 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Exploration + Space holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view143 of 145 launches | Without the breakout144 of 145 launches | Last 18 months79 of 145 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 14511 hits | 14311 hits | 14410 hits | 795 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,011top tenth $45,544+ | $1,052 | $1,011 | $1,112 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.3%0.1 more in 100 | -9.2%0.7 fewer in 100 | -17.1%1.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.1%$41 more | 0.0%no change | +10.0%$101 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Exploration and Space, 6 to 30 months old: 145 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 145 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Jump Space (36.7% of the money): 144 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 79 of 145.
Exploration holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Exploration | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,867 of 5,078 launches | Without the breakout5,077 of 5,078 launches | Last 18 months2,727 of 5,078 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,078397 hits | 4,867377 hits | 5,077396 hits | 2,727190 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $908top tenth $58,608+ | $909 | $902 | $728 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -10.3%0.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.1%$1 more | -0.7%$6 less | -19.8%$180 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 6 to 30 months old: 5,078 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 211 of 5,078 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (20.7% of the money): 5,077 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,727 of 5,078.
Space holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Space | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view737 of 762 launches | Without the breakout761 of 762 launches | Last 18 months410 of 762 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 76239 hits | 73738 hits | 76138 hits | 41018 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $324top tenth $24,288+ | $332 | $324 | $323 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +2.0%0.1 more in 100 | -2.0%0.1 fewer in 100 | -13.7%0.7 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +2.5%$8 more | 0.0%no change | -0.3%$1 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Space, 6 to 30 months old: 762 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 762 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Jump Space (13.0% of the money): 761 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 410 of 762.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Exploration + Space moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.