Niche

Exploration + Third Person

Games tagged both Exploration and Third Person: 338 indie paid launches, 28 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 100+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 100+ launches Reset

Showing Exploration + Third Person priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Exploration and beats Third Person; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

73 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tagExploration

17.3in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds17.3 in 100

Typical earnings$9,369

Launches878 / 152 hits

Pairno reading

--No reading

This pairExploration + Third Person

--too few
to read

Odds--

Typical earnings--

Launches73

73 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagThird Person

14.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds14.5 in 100

Typical earnings$4,543

Launches242 / 35 hits

Pairno reading

All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Exploration is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices338 in pair Under $5148 in pair $5 to $1084 in pair $10 to $2073 in pair $20 to $4033 in pair

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 73 games tagged both Exploration and Third Person priced $10 to $20. 17.8 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 17.3 in 100 for Exploration-only games and 13.0 in 100 for Third Person-only games, so the mix is about level with Exploration alone and beats Third Person alone.

Both: 73 games priced $10 to $20; 17.8 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $3,798.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 73 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Gameleads this pair12.7%

PairRooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game12.7%

ExplorationHollow Knight: Silksong21.4%

Third PersonThe Forever Winter14.7%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Exploration + Third Person

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game earned 12.7% of the estimated first-year money of the 338 Exploration + Third Person launches.
Exploration is led by Hollow Knight: Silksong, with 21.4% of its money.
Third Person is led by The Forever Winter, with 14.7% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Exploration + Third Person holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Exploration + Third Person through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view328 of 338 launches	Without the breakout337 of 338 launches	Last 18 months95 of 338 launches
Launches counted	33828 hits	32827 hits	33727 hits	956 hits
Earned $100k+	8.3 in 1001 in 12	8.2 in 1001 in 12	8.0 in 1001 in 12	6.3 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings	$453top tenth $51,990+	$470	$439	$478
Chance against standard	the base	-0.6%0.1 fewer in 100	-3.3%0.3 fewer in 100	-23.8%2.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+3.8%$17 more	-3.1%$14 less	+5.5%$25 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Exploration and Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 338 launches.

Launches counted: 33828 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $453top tenth $51,990+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 10 of 338 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 32827 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.2 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $470
Chance against standard: -0.6%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +3.8%$17 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game (12.7% of the money): 337 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 33727 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.0 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $439
Chance against standard: -3.3%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -3.1%$14 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 95 of 338.

Launches counted: 956 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.3 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $478
Chance against standard: -23.8%2.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +5.5%$25 more; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Exploration and Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 338 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 10 of 338 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game (12.7% of the money): 337 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 95 of 338.

Exploration holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Exploration through every lens, all prices
Exploration	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view4,379 of 4,579 launches	Without the breakout4,578 of 4,579 launches	Last 18 months1,268 of 4,579 launches
Launches counted	4,579337 hits	4,379321 hits	4,578336 hits	1,26896 hits
Earned $100k+	7.4 in 1001 in 14	7.3 in 1001 in 14	7.3 in 1001 in 14	7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings	$861top tenth $53,530+	$862	$861	$861
Chance against standard	the base	-0.4%no change	-0.3%no change	+2.9%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+0.1%$1 more	0.0%no change	0.0%no change
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 12 to 36 months old: 4,579 launches.

Launches counted: 4,579337 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.4 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $861top tenth $53,530+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 200 of 4,579 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 4,379321 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $862
Chance against standard: -0.4%no change
Typical against standard: +0.1%$1 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (21.4% of the money): 4,578 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 4,578336 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $861
Chance against standard: -0.3%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,268 of 4,579.

Launches counted: 1,26896 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $861
Chance against standard: +2.9%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 12 to 36 months old: 4,579 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 200 of 4,579 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (21.4% of the money): 4,578 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,268 of 4,579.

Third Person holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Third Person through every lens, all prices
Third Person	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,434 of 1,486 launches	Without the breakout1,485 of 1,486 launches	Last 18 months425 of 1,486 launches
Launches counted	1,48676 hits	1,43475 hits	1,48575 hits	42523 hits
Earned $100k+	5.1 in 1001 in 20	5.2 in 1001 in 19	5.1 in 1001 in 20	5.4 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings	$287top tenth $20,660+	$304	$287	$287
Chance against standard	the base	+2.3%0.1 more in 100	-1.2%0.1 fewer in 100	+5.8%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+5.9%$17 more	0.0%no change	0.0%no change
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 1,486 launches.

Launches counted: 1,48676 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $287top tenth $20,660+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 52 of 1,486 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,43475 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.2 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $304
Chance against standard: +2.3%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +5.9%$17 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (14.7% of the money): 1,485 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,48575 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $287
Chance against standard: -1.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 425 of 1,486.

Launches counted: 42523 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.4 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $287
Chance against standard: +5.8%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 1,486 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 52 of 1,486 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (14.7% of the money): 1,485 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 425 of 1,486.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Exploration + Third Person moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.