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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Fantasy + Strategy

Niche

Fantasy + Strategy

Games tagged both Fantasy and Strategy: 339 indie paid launches, 31 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Fantasy + Strategy priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Fantasy and is about level with Strategy; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

86 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

2NDRunner-up
Tag onemood tagFantasy
10.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds10.7 in 100
Typical earnings$3,505
Launches402 / 43 hits
Pairno reading
--No reading
This pairFantasy + Strategy
--too few
to read
Odds--
Typical earnings--
Launches86

86 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

1STWinner
Tag twoStrategy
16.0in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds16.0 in 100
Typical earnings$7,843
Launches844 / 135 hits
Pairno reading
All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Fantasy is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 86 games tagged both Fantasy and Strategy priced $10 to $20. 16.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 9.2 in 100 for Fantasy-only games and 16.0 in 100 for Strategy-only games, so the mix beats Fantasy alone and is about level with Strategy alone.

Both: 86 games priced $10 to $20; 16.3 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $4,481.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 86 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

The Bazaarleads this pair16.7%
PairThe Bazaar16.7%
FantasyGranblue Fantasy: Relink23.2%
StrategyManor Lords14.8%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Fantasy + Strategy

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • The Bazaar earned 16.7% of the estimated first-year money of the 339 Fantasy + Strategy launches.
  • Fantasy is led by Granblue Fantasy: Relink, with 23.2% of its money.
  • Strategy is led by Manor Lords, with 14.8% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Fantasy + Strategy is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Fantasy + Strategy through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view319 of 339 launchesWithout the breakout338 of 339 launchesLast 18 months100 of 339 launches
Launches counted33931 hits31929 hits33830 hits10011 hits
Earned $100k+9.1 in 1001 in 119.1 in 1001 in 118.9 in 1001 in 1111.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$626top tenth $75,177+$669$626$957
Chance against standardthe base-0.6%0.1 fewer in 100-2.9%0.3 fewer in 100+20.3%1.9 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+6.9%$43 more0.0%no change+52.9%$331 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Fantasy and Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 339 launches.

Launches counted
33931 hits
Earned $100k+
9.1 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$626top tenth $75,177+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 20 of 339 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
31929 hits
Earned $100k+
9.1 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$669
Chance against standard
-0.6%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+6.9%$43 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Bazaar (16.7% of the money): 338 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
33830 hits
Earned $100k+
8.9 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$626
Chance against standard
-2.9%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 100 of 339.

Launches counted
10011 hits
Earned $100k+
11.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$957
Chance against standard
+20.3%1.9 more in 100
Typical against standard
+52.9%$331 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Fantasy and Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 339 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 20 of 339 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, The Bazaar (16.7% of the money): 338 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 100 of 339.

Fantasy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Fantasy through every lens, all prices
FantasyBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,687 of 1,767 launchesWithout the breakout1,766 of 1,767 launchesLast 18 months515 of 1,767 launches
Launches counted1,76790 hits1,68786 hits1,76689 hits51529 hits
Earned $100k+5.1 in 1001 in 205.1 in 1001 in 205.0 in 1001 in 205.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings$563top tenth $26,247+$568$563$574
Chance against standardthe base+0.1%no change-1.1%0.1 fewer in 100+10.6%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+0.9%$5 more0.0%no change+2.0%$11 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 1,767 launches.

Launches counted
1,76790 hits
Earned $100k+
5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings
$563top tenth $26,247+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 80 of 1,767 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,68786 hits
Earned $100k+
5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings
$568
Chance against standard
+0.1%no change
Typical against standard
+0.9%$5 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (23.2% of the money): 1,766 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,76689 hits
Earned $100k+
5.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings
$563
Chance against standard
-1.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 515 of 1,767.

Launches counted
51529 hits
Earned $100k+
5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$574
Chance against standard
+10.6%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard
+2.0%$11 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 1,767 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 80 of 1,767 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (23.2% of the money): 1,766 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 515 of 1,767.

Strategy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Strategy through every lens, all prices
StrategyBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view4,305 of 4,686 launchesWithout the breakout4,685 of 4,686 launchesLast 18 months1,463 of 4,686 launches
Launches counted4,686290 hits4,305262 hits4,685289 hits1,46397 hits
Earned $100k+6.2 in 1001 in 166.1 in 1001 in 166.2 in 1001 in 166.6 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings$426top tenth $39,428+$472$426$498
Chance against standardthe base-1.7%0.1 fewer in 100-0.3%no change+7.1%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+10.8%$46 more0.0%no change+16.9%$72 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 4,686 launches.

Launches counted
4,686290 hits
Earned $100k+
6.2 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$426top tenth $39,428+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 381 of 4,686 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
4,305262 hits
Earned $100k+
6.1 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$472
Chance against standard
-1.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+10.8%$46 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (14.8% of the money): 4,685 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
4,685289 hits
Earned $100k+
6.2 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$426
Chance against standard
-0.3%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,463 of 4,686.

Launches counted
1,46397 hits
Earned $100k+
6.6 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$498
Chance against standard
+7.1%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard
+16.9%$72 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 4,686 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 381 of 4,686 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (14.8% of the money): 4,685 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,463 of 4,686.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Fantasy + Strategy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.