Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / First-Person / Difficult
First-Person + Difficult: a typical launch earns $1,133 in its first year
That is the median of 31 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 5 of 65 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 2.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 26% on the year before: 48 against 38.
- Price
- $1,133 median of 31 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +16.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 48 38 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 81 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 379 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.80%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.03% to 1.65% | 9 ranked of 81 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,380 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.37xhits against expected | 0.94x to 2.19x | 65 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,069 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 65
- Hit rate
- 7.7%3.1% to 15.7%
- Expected rate
- 4.3%
- Against expected
- 1.37x0.94x to 2.19x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
65 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $40
- Median
- $809
- Top tenth
- $50,674
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +26%
Parent tags
- First-PersonNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- DifficultNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Ghostrunner 2 (opens the Steam store)2023 · 8,044 reviews, 80% positiveest. $5.6M
- Peaks of Yore (opens the Steam store)2023 · 3,602 reviews, 97% positiveest. $1.4M
- Bloodthief (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,027 reviews, 95% positiveest. $416k
- Shady Knight (opens the Steam store)2024 · 899 reviews, 93% positiveest. $364k
- Pih (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,790 reviews, 94% positiveest. $326k
- They Killed Your Cat (opens the Steam store)2026 · 892 reviews, 76% positiveest. $126k
- IT Specialist Simulator (opens the Steam store)2025 · 440 reviews, 75% positiveest. $125k
- GUARDS! (opens the Steam store)2024 · 418 reviews, 68% positiveest. $85k
More with First-Person
pairs with First-Person- Co-op + First-Person$11,81190 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
- First-Person + Economy$9,96156 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- Building + First-Person$7,38241 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
- First-Person + Management$7,08093 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
- Crafting + First-Person$6,99934 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- First-Person + Online Co-Op$5,747102 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
More with Difficult
pairs with Difficult- RPG + Difficult$8,09240 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Difficult$3,64173 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Difficult$3,03570 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Action Roguelike$2,42672 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Souls-like$2,12341 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Bullet Hell$2,12150 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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