Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

First-Person + Linear: a typical launch earns $707 in its first year

That is the median of 147 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 3 of 277 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 8.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 2% on the year before: 175 against 179.

One game dominates the figure

Price: $707
Price vs a year earlier: −12.5%
Releases, 12 months: 175
Upcoming games: 329
Games on the store: 1,023

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

First-Person + Linear on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.15%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.10% to 0.21%	18 ranked of 329 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#1,325 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. One game dominates the figure	0.52xhits against expected	0.36x to 0.90x	277 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#5,541 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 3
Expected: 8.6

Launches: 277
Hit rate: 1.1%0.7% to 3.4%
Expected rate: 3.1%
Against expected: 0.52x0.36x to 0.90x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

277 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $32
Median: $605
Top tenth: $5,579

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 175
Prior 12 months: 179

Change: −2%

Parent tags

First-PersonNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
LinearNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with First-Person

pairs with First-Person

Co-op + First-Person$11,81190 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Economy$9,96156 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
Building + First-Person$7,38241 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Management$7,08093 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
Crafting + First-Person$6,99934 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Online Co-Op$5,747102 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months

Every pair with First-Person

More with Linear

pairs with Linear

Walking Simulator + Linear$1,56566 launches priced, 92 releases in 12 months
Psychological Horror + Linear$1,11182 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + Linear$91095 launches priced, 129 releases in 12 months
Visual Novel + Linear$84831 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
Horror + Linear$808121 launches priced, 153 releases in 12 months
Female Protagonist + Linear$79940 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Linear

Verdicts

in development

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