Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / First-Person + Linear
First-Person + Linear
Games tagged both First-Person and Linear: 252 indie paid launches, 3 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing First-Person + Linear priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
First-Person + Linear is too small to compare with First-Person and is too small to compare with Linear: 0 of its 17 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 24.5 in 100 for First-Person and 4 of 88 launches for Linear.
Small sample: 17 launches, 0 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 17 games tagged both First-Person and Linear priced $10 to $20. 0 of 17 of them earned $100k+, against 25.3 in 100 for First-Person-only games and 4 of 71 for Linear-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with First-Person alone and is too small to compare with Linear alone.
Both: 17 games priced $10 to $20; 0 of 17 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 13 of 17 launches · $10k+ 5 of 17 launches · $100k+ 0 of 17 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 17 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
First-Person + Linear holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view247 of 252 launches | Without the breakout251 of 252 launches | Last 18 months76 of 252 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2523 hits | 2473 hits | 2512 hits | 761 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3 of 252too few for a rate | 3 of 247too few for a rate | 2 of 251too few for a rate | 1 of 76too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $626top tenth $5,403+ | $648 | $600 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +2.0%no change; too few to tell | -33.1%0.4 fewer in 100 | +10.5%0.1 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.5%$22 more | -4.2%$26 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both First-Person and Linear, 12 to 36 months old: 252 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 252 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Dollmare (12.9% of the money): 251 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 76 of 252.
First-Person holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| First-Person | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,708 of 3,840 launches | Without the breakout3,839 of 3,840 launches | Last 18 months1,183 of 3,840 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,840270 hits | 3,708261 hits | 3,839269 hits | 1,18394 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $793top tenth $42,418+ | $799 | $793 | $750 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.1%no change | -0.3%no change | +13.0%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.8%$6 more | 0.0%no change | -5.4%$43 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 12 to 36 months old: 3,840 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 132 of 3,840 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (18.8% of the money): 3,839 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,183 of 3,840.
Linear is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Linear | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,042 of 1,070 launches | Without the breakout1,069 of 1,070 launches | Last 18 months313 of 1,070 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,07012 hits | 1,04210 hits | 1,06911 hits | 3135 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.1 in 1001 in 89 | 1.0 in 1001 in 104 | 1.0 in 1001 in 97 | 1.6 in 1001 in 63 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $321top tenth $6,358+ | $325 | $313 | $273 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -14.4%0.2 fewer in 100 | -8.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | +42.4%0.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.2%$4 more | -2.5%$8 less | -15.0%$48 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Linear, 12 to 36 months old: 1,070 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 28 of 1,070 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Spilled! (9.8% of the money): 1,069 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 313 of 1,070.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when First-Person + Linear moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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