Niche

First-Person + Mystery

Games tagged both First-Person and Mystery: 327 indie paid launches, 18 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing First-Person + Mystery priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with First-Person and trails Mystery; priced $10 to $20 it is about level with First-Person and is about level with Mystery.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

First-Person + Mystery is about level with First-Person and is about level with Mystery: 22.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 24.5 in 100 for First-Person and 24.4 in 100 for Mystery.

That is about 1.1 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tagFirst-Person

24.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds24.5 in 100

Typical earnings$10,866

Launches539 / 132 hits

A tie, apart by2.5 in 100

TIEA tie

This pairFirst-Person + Mystery

22.0in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds22.0 in 100

$1k+90 in 100

$10k+46 in 100

Launches41 / 9 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagMystery

24.4in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds24.4 in 100

Typical earnings$9,882

Launches258 / 63 hits

A tie, apart by2.5 in 100

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20First-Person is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices327 in pair Under $5180 in pair $5 to $1099 in pair $10 to $2041 in pair$20 to $407: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 41 games tagged both First-Person and Mystery priced $10 to $20. 22.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 24.7 in 100 for First-Person-only games and 24.9 in 100 for Mystery-only games, so the mix is about level with First-Person alone and is about level with Mystery alone.

Both: 41 games priced $10 to $20; 22.0 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 90 in 100 · $10k+ 46 in 100 · $100k+ 22 in 100.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 41 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Blue Princeleads this pair63.4%

PairBlue Prince63.4%

First-PersonSchedule I18.8%

MysteryBlue Prince14.6%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads First-Person + Mystery

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Blue Prince earned 63.4% of the estimated first-year money of the 327 First-Person + Mystery launches.
First-Person is led by Schedule I, with 18.8% of its money.
It also leads Mystery, with 14.6% of that tag's money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

First-Person + Mystery is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in West-facing view.

First-Person + Mystery through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view314 of 327 launches	Without the breakout326 of 327 launches	Last 18 months113 of 327 launches
Launches counted	32718 hits	31417 hits	32617 hits	1138 hits
Earned $100k+	5.5 in 1001 in 18	5.4 in 1001 in 18	5.2 in 1001 in 19	7.1 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings	$979top tenth $25,819+	$1,020	$979	$515
Chance against standard	the base	-1.6%0.1 fewer in 100	-5.3%0.3 fewer in 100	+28.6%1.6 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+4.2%$41 more	0.0%no change	-47.4%$464 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both First-Person and Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 327 launches.

Launches counted: 32718 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.5 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $979top tenth $25,819+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 327 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 31417 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.4 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $1,020
Chance against standard: -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +4.2%$41 more

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (63.4% of the money): 326 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 32617 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.2 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $979
Chance against standard: -5.3%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 113 of 327.

Launches counted: 1138 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.1 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $515
Chance against standard: +28.6%1.6 more in 100
Typical against standard: -47.4%$464 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both First-Person and Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 327 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 327 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (63.4% of the money): 326 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 113 of 327.

First-Person holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

First-Person through every lens, all prices
First-Person	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view3,708 of 3,840 launches	Without the breakout3,839 of 3,840 launches	Last 18 months1,183 of 3,840 launches
Launches counted	3,840270 hits	3,708261 hits	3,839269 hits	1,18394 hits
Earned $100k+	7.0 in 1001 in 14	7.0 in 1001 in 14	7.0 in 1001 in 14	7.9 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings	$793top tenth $42,418+	$799	$793	$750
Chance against standard	the base	+0.1%no change	-0.3%no change	+13.0%0.9 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+0.8%$6 more	0.0%no change	-5.4%$43 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 12 to 36 months old: 3,840 launches.

Launches counted: 3,840270 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $793top tenth $42,418+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 132 of 3,840 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 3,708261 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $799
Chance against standard: +0.1%no change
Typical against standard: +0.8%$6 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (18.8% of the money): 3,839 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 3,839269 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $793
Chance against standard: -0.3%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,183 of 3,840.

Launches counted: 1,18394 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.9 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $750
Chance against standard: +13.0%0.9 more in 100
Typical against standard: -5.4%$43 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 12 to 36 months old: 3,840 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 132 of 3,840 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (18.8% of the money): 3,839 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,183 of 3,840.

Mystery is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Mystery through every lens, all prices
Mystery	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,167 of 1,239 launches	Without the breakout1,238 of 1,239 launches	Last 18 months402 of 1,239 launches
Launches counted	1,239109 hits	1,16795 hits	1,238108 hits	40237 hits
Earned $100k+	8.8 in 1001 in 11	8.1 in 1001 in 12	8.7 in 1001 in 11	9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings	$1,040top tenth $81,013+	$1,020	$1,040	$797
Chance against standard	the base	-7.5%0.7 fewer in 100	-0.8%0.1 fewer in 100	+4.6%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-1.9%$20 less	0.0%no change	-23.4%$243 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 1,239 launches.

Launches counted: 1,239109 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,040top tenth $81,013+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 72 of 1,239 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,16795 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,020
Chance against standard: -7.5%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.9%$20 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (14.6% of the money): 1,238 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,238108 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.7 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,040
Chance against standard: -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 402 of 1,239.

Launches counted: 40237 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $797
Chance against standard: +4.6%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: -23.4%$243 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 1,239 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 72 of 1,239 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (14.6% of the money): 1,238 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 402 of 1,239.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when First-Person + Mystery moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.