Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / First-Person + VR
First-Person + VR
Games tagged both First-Person and VR: 168 indie paid launches, 14 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing First-Person + VR priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with First-Person and is about level with VR; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with First-Person and is too small to compare with VR.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
First-Person + VR is too small to compare with First-Person and is too small to compare with VR: 1 of its 56 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 24.5 in 100 for First-Person and 4.1 in 100 for VR.
Small sample: 56 launches, 1 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 56 games tagged both First-Person and VR priced $10 to $20. 1 of 56 of them earned $100k+, against 27.1 in 100 for First-Person-only games and 5.0 in 100 for VR-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with First-Person alone and is too small to compare with VR alone.
Both: 56 games priced $10 to $20; 1 of 56 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 68 in 100 · $10k+ 32 in 100 · $100k+ 1 of 56 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 56 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
First-Person + VR is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in West-facing view.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view163 of 168 launches | Without the breakout167 of 168 launches | Last 18 months37 of 168 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 16814 hits | 16314 hits | 16713 hits | 376 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 | 8.6 in 1001 in 12 | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 16.2 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $851top tenth $66,591+ | $858 | $843 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +3.1%0.3 more in 100 | -6.6%0.5 fewer in 100 | +94.6%7.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.8%$7 more | -0.9%$8 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both First-Person and VR, 12 to 36 months old: 168 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 168 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Bodycam (50.4% of the money): 167 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 37 of 168.
First-Person holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| First-Person | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,708 of 3,840 launches | Without the breakout3,839 of 3,840 launches | Last 18 months1,183 of 3,840 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,840270 hits | 3,708261 hits | 3,839269 hits | 1,18394 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $793top tenth $42,418+ | $799 | $793 | $750 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.1%no change | -0.3%no change | +13.0%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.8%$6 more | 0.0%no change | -5.4%$43 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 12 to 36 months old: 3,840 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 132 of 3,840 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (18.8% of the money): 3,839 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,183 of 3,840.
VR is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| VR | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view559 of 574 launches | Without the breakout573 of 574 launches | Last 18 months112 of 574 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 57438 hits | 55938 hits | 57337 hits | 11210 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 | 6.8 in 1001 in 15 | 6.5 in 1001 in 15 | 8.9 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $797top tenth $42,689+ | $837 | $781 | $1,352 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +2.7%0.2 more in 100 | -2.5%0.2 fewer in 100 | +34.9%2.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +5.0%$40 more | -2.0%$16 less | +69.6%$555 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged VR, 12 to 36 months old: 574 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 15 of 574 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Bodycam (33.8% of the money): 573 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 112 of 574.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when First-Person + VR moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.