Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Funny + Simulation
Funny + Simulation
Games tagged both Funny and Simulation: 276 indie paid launches, 21 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Funny + Simulation priced $10 to $20, last 18 months, hiding samples under 100 launches. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Funny and trails Simulation; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
42 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.
42 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 42 games tagged both Funny and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 19.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 18.3 for Funny-only games and 21.6 for Simulation-only games, so the mix beats Funny alone and trails Simulation alone.
Both: 42 games priced $10 to $20; 19.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $13,963.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 42 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Funny + Simulation is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view267 of 276 launches | Without the breakout275 of 276 launches | Last 18 months153 of 276 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 27621 hits | 26720 hits | 27520 hits | 1538 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.5 in 1001 in 13 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,011top tenth $66,921+ | $1,011 | $1,007 | $909 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | -3.9%0.3 fewer in 100 | -31.6%2.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -0.4%$4 less | -10.1%$102 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Funny and Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 276 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 9 of 276 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Crime Scene Cleaner (44.9% of the money): 275 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 153 of 276.
Funny holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Funny | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,883 of 1,962 launches | Without the breakout1,961 of 1,962 launches | Last 18 months1,086 of 1,962 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,962117 hits | 1,883108 hits | 1,961116 hits | 1,08656 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $808top tenth $37,489+ | $809 | $808 | $655 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -5.0%0.3 fewer in 100 | -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | -13.3%0.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.1%$1 more | 0.0%no change | -18.9%$153 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Funny, 6 to 30 months old: 1,962 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 79 of 1,962 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (26.3% of the money): 1,961 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,086 of 1,962.
Simulation holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Simulation | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,023 of 5,285 launches | Without the breakout5,284 of 5,285 launches | Last 18 months3,070 of 5,285 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,285435 hits | 5,023411 hits | 5,284434 hits | 3,070225 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $982top tenth $69,988+ | $1,012 | $982 | $971 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -11.0%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +3.1%$30 more | 0.0%no change | -1.1%$11 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 5,285 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 262 of 5,285 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (15.4% of the money): 5,284 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,070 of 5,285.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Funny + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.