Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Gambling + Strategy
Games tagged both Gambling and Strategy: 44 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Gambling + Strategy priced under $5. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced under $5 it is too small to compare with Gambling and is too small to compare with Strategy.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Gambling + Strategy is too small to compare with Gambling and is too small to compare with Strategy: 1 of its 26 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 1 of 52 launches for Gambling and 0.2 in 100 for Strategy.
Small sample: 26 launches, 1 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 26 games tagged both Gambling and Strategy priced under $5. 1 of 26 of them earned $100k+, against 0 of 26 for Gambling-only games and 4 of 2,316 for Strategy-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Gambling alone and is too small to compare with Strategy alone.
Both: 26 games priced under $5; 1 of 26 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 7 of 26 launches · $10k+ 4 of 26 launches · $100k+ 1 of 26 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 26 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Gambling + Strategy holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view42 of 44 launches | Without the breakout43 of 44 launches | Last 18 months17 of 44 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 445 hits | 425 hits | 434 hits | 172 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 11.4 in 100 | 11.9 in 100 | 4 of 43too few for a rate | 2 of 17too few for a rate |
| Chance of $10k+ | 25 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 48 in 100 | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +4.8%0.5 more in 100 | -18.1%2.1 fewer in 100 | +3.5%0.4 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Gambling and Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 44 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 44 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, CloverPit (43.9% of the money): 43 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 17 of 44.
Gambling holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Gambling | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view97 of 100 launches | Without the breakout99 of 100 launches | Last 18 months38 of 100 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1008 hits | 978 hits | 997 hits | 383 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.0 in 1001 in 13 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 3 of 38too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $975top tenth $89,850+ | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +3.1%0.2 more in 100 | -11.6%0.9 fewer in 100 | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged Gambling, 12 to 36 months old: 100 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 100 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, CloverPit (37.5% of the money): 99 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 38 of 100.
Strategy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Strategy | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,385 of 4,762 launches | Without the breakout4,761 of 4,762 launches | Last 18 months1,438 of 4,762 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,762337 hits | 4,385309 hits | 4,761336 hits | 1,438111 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $454top tenth $51,271+ | $509 | $454 | $543 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.4%no change | -0.3%no change | +9.1%0.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +12.1%$55 more | 0.0%no change | +19.6%$89 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 4,762 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 377 of 4,762 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (14.9% of the money): 4,761 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,438 of 4,762.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Gambling + Strategy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.