Niche

Grid-Based Movement + Puzzle

Games tagged both Grid-Based Movement and Puzzle: 130 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 100+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 100+ launches Reset

Showing Grid-Based Movement + Puzzle priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is too small to compare with Grid-Based Movement and is too small to compare with Puzzle; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

11 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

--No reading

Tag oneGrid-Based Movement

--too few
to read

Odds--

Typical earnings--

Launches37

37 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

--No reading

This pairGrid-Based Movement + Puzzle

--too few
to read

Odds--

Typical earnings--

Launches11

11 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

1STWinner

Tag twoPuzzle

12.4in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds12.4 in 100

Typical earnings$3,798

Launches686 / 85 hits

Pairno reading

All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices130 in pair Under $590 in pair $5 to $1029 in pair $10 to $2011 in pair$20 to $40no launches

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 11 games tagged both Grid-Based Movement and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 1 of 11 of them earned $100k+, against 2 of 26 for Grid-Based Movement-only games and 12.4 in 100 for Puzzle-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Grid-Based Movement alone and is too small to compare with Puzzle alone.

Both: 11 games priced $10 to $20; 1 of 11 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $12,197.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 11 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Arranger: A Role-Puzzling Adventureleads this pair20.8%

PairArranger: A Role-Puzzling Adventure20.8%

Grid-Based MovementLost Eidolons: Veil of the Witch15.3%

PuzzleBlue Prince7.2%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Grid-Based Movement + Puzzle

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Arranger: A Role-Puzzling Adventure earned 20.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 130 Grid-Based Movement + Puzzle launches.
Grid-Based Movement is led by Lost Eidolons: Veil of the Witch, with 15.3% of its money.
Puzzle is led by Blue Prince, with 7.2% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Grid-Based Movement + Puzzle holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Grid-Based Movement + Puzzle through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view130 of 130 launches	Without the breakout129 of 130 launches	Last 18 months42 of 130 launches
Launches counted	1301 hits	1301 hits	1290 hits	420 hits
Earned $100k+	1 of 130too few for a rate	1 of 130too few for a rate	0 of 129too few for a rate	0 of 42too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$354top tenth $5,958+	$354	$306	$306
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	-100.0%0.8 fewer in 100	-100.0%0.8 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	-13.6%$48 less	-13.6%$48 less; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Grid-Based Movement and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 130 launches.

Launches counted: 1301 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 130too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $354top tenth $5,958+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 130 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1301 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 130too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $354
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Arranger: A Role-Puzzling Adventure (20.8% of the money): 129 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1290 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 129too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $306
Chance against standard: -100.0%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -13.6%$48 less

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 42 of 130.

Launches counted: 420 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 42too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $306
Chance against standard: -100.0%0.8 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: -13.6%$48 less; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Grid-Based Movement and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 130 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 130 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Arranger: A Role-Puzzling Adventure (20.8% of the money): 129 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 42 of 130.

Grid-Based Movement holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Grid-Based Movement through every lens, all prices
Grid-Based Movement	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view233 of 233 launches	Without the breakout232 of 233 launches	Last 18 months72 of 233 launches
Launches counted	2337 hits	2337 hits	2326 hits	721 hits
Earned $100k+	3.0 in 1001 in 33	3.0 in 1001 in 33	2.6 in 1001 in 39	1 of 72too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$459top tenth $21,501+	$459	$459	$517
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change	-13.9%0.4 fewer in 100	-53.8%1.6 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	+12.6%$58 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Grid-Based Movement, 12 to 36 months old: 233 launches.

Launches counted: 2337 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $459top tenth $21,501+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 233 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 2337 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $459
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Lost Eidolons: Veil of the Witch (15.3% of the money): 232 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 2326 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.6 in 1001 in 39
Typical first-year earnings: $459
Chance against standard: -13.9%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 72 of 233.

Launches counted: 721 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 72too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $517
Chance against standard: -53.8%1.6 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +12.6%$58 more; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Grid-Based Movement, 12 to 36 months old: 233 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 233 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Lost Eidolons: Veil of the Witch (15.3% of the money): 232 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 72 of 233.

Puzzle is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Puzzle through every lens, all prices
Puzzle	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view5,057 of 5,257 launches	Without the breakout5,256 of 5,257 launches	Last 18 months1,499 of 5,257 launches
Launches counted	5,257163 hits	5,057152 hits	5,256162 hits	1,49953 hits
Earned $100k+	3.1 in 1001 in 32	3.0 in 1001 in 33	3.1 in 1001 in 32	3.5 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings	$405top tenth $12,506+	$421	$405	$402
Chance against standard	the base	-3.1%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.6%no change	+14.0%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+4.0%$16 more	0.0%no change	-0.7%$3 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,257 launches.

Launches counted: 5,257163 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 32
Typical first-year earnings: $405top tenth $12,506+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 200 of 5,257 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 5,057152 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $421
Chance against standard: -3.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +4.0%$16 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.2% of the money): 5,256 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 5,256162 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 32
Typical first-year earnings: $405
Chance against standard: -0.6%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,499 of 5,257.

Launches counted: 1,49953 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.5 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings: $402
Chance against standard: +14.0%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: -0.7%$3 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,257 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 200 of 5,257 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.2% of the money): 5,256 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,499 of 5,257.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Grid-Based Movement + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

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Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.