Niche

Horror + Old School

Games tagged both Horror and Old School: 48 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing Horror + Old School priced under $5. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced under $5 it is too small to compare with Horror and is too small to compare with Old School.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Horror + Old School is too small to compare with Horror and is too small to compare with Old School: 0 of its 21 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.7 in 100 for Horror and 0 of 247 launches for Old School.

Small sample: 21 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneHorror

0.7in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 137

Typical earnings$431

Launches1,912 / 14 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairHorror + Old School

0 of 21launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 21 launches

$1k+5 of 21 launches

$10k+0 of 21 launches

Launches21 / 0 hits

Expected0.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagOld School

0 of 247launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 247 launches

Typical earnings$117

Launches247 / 0 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 230), typical $162, from 14,050 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5Old School is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices48 in pair Under $521 in pair $5 to $1016 in pair$10 to $208: too few$20 to $403: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 21 games tagged both Horror and Old School priced under $5. 0 of 21 of them earned $100k+, against 0.7 in 100 for Horror-only games and 0 of 226 for Old School-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Horror alone and is too small to compare with Old School alone.

Both: 21 games priced under $5; 0 of 21 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 5 of 21 launches · $10k+ 0 of 21 launches · $100k+ 0 of 21 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 21 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Painkillerleads this pair44.0%

PairPainkiller44.0%

HorrorR.E.P.O.17.8%

Old SchoolSTAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection27.3%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Horror + Old School

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Painkiller earned 44.0% of the estimated first-year money of the 48 Horror + Old School launches.
Horror is led by R.E.P.O., with 17.8% of its money.
Old School is led by STAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection, with 27.3% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Horror + Old School holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Horror + Old School through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view47 of 48 launches	Without the breakout47 of 48 launches	Last 18 months11 of 48 launches
Launches counted	486 hits	476 hits	475 hits	114 hits
Earned $100k+	12.5 in 100	12.8 in 100	10.6 in 100	4 of 11too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	25 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 52 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+2.1%0.3 more in 100	-14.9%1.9 fewer in 100	+190.9%23.9 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Horror and Old School, 12 to 36 months old: 48 launches.

Launches counted: 486 hits
Earned $100k+: 12.5 in 100
Chance of $10k+: 25 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 52 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 48 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 476 hits
Earned $100k+: 12.8 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +2.1%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Painkiller (44.0% of the money): 47 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 475 hits
Earned $100k+: 10.6 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -14.9%1.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 11 of 48.

Launches counted: 114 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 11too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +190.9%23.9 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Horror and Old School, 12 to 36 months old: 48 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 48 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Painkiller (44.0% of the money): 47 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 11 of 48.

Horror is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Horror through every lens, all prices
Horror	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view3,137 of 3,283 launches	Without the breakout3,282 of 3,283 launches	Last 18 months1,000 of 3,283 launches
Launches counted	3,283193 hits	3,137189 hits	3,282192 hits	1,00058 hits
Earned $100k+	5.9 in 1001 in 17	6.0 in 1001 in 17	5.9 in 1001 in 17	5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings	$1,005top tenth $35,503+	$1,023	$1,005	$942
Chance against standard	the base	+2.5%0.1 more in 100	-0.5%no change	-1.3%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+1.8%$18 more	0.0%no change	-6.3%$63 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Horror, 12 to 36 months old: 3,283 launches.

Launches counted: 3,283193 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $1,005top tenth $35,503+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 146 of 3,283 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 3,137189 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $1,023
Chance against standard: +2.5%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +1.8%$18 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (17.8% of the money): 3,282 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 3,282192 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $1,005
Chance against standard: -0.5%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,000 of 3,283.

Launches counted: 1,00058 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $942
Chance against standard: -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -6.3%$63 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Horror, 12 to 36 months old: 3,283 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 146 of 3,283 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (17.8% of the money): 3,282 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,000 of 3,283.

Old School holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Old School through every lens, all prices
Old School	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view518 of 522 launches	Without the breakout521 of 522 launches	Last 18 months114 of 522 launches
Launches counted	52234 hits	51834 hits	52133 hits	1149 hits
Earned $100k+	6.5 in 1001 in 15	6.6 in 1001 in 15	6.3 in 1001 in 16	7.9 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings	$569top tenth $35,206+	$545	$558	$490
Chance against standard	the base	+0.8%0.1 more in 100	-2.8%0.2 fewer in 100	+21.2%1.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-4.2%$24 less	-1.9%$11 less	-13.9%$79 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Old School, 12 to 36 months old: 522 launches.

Launches counted: 52234 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.5 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $569top tenth $35,206+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 522 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 51834 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.6 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $545
Chance against standard: +0.8%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: -4.2%$24 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, STAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection (27.3% of the money): 521 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 52133 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.3 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $558
Chance against standard: -2.8%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.9%$11 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 114 of 522.

Launches counted: 1149 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.9 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $490
Chance against standard: +21.2%1.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: -13.9%$79 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Old School, 12 to 36 months old: 522 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 522 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, STAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection (27.3% of the money): 521 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 114 of 522.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Horror + Old School moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.