Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Horror + Supernatural
Horror + Supernatural
Games tagged both Horror and Supernatural: 262 indie paid launches, 14 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Horror + Supernatural priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Horror + Supernatural is about level with Horror and is about level with Supernatural: 22.2 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 22.2 in 100 for Horror and 20.4 in 100 for Supernatural.
That is about 1.1 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 36 games tagged both Horror and Supernatural priced $10 to $20. 22.2 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 22.2 in 100 for Horror-only games and 2 of 13 for Supernatural-only games, so the mix is about level with Horror alone and is too small to compare with Supernatural alone.
Both: 36 games priced $10 to $20; 22.2 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 81 in 100 · $10k+ 50 in 100 · $100k+ 22 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 36 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Horror + Supernatural holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view248 of 262 launches | Without the breakout261 of 262 launches | Last 18 months76 of 262 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 26214 hits | 24813 hits | 26113 hits | 766 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.3 in 1001 in 19 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,473top tenth $42,099+ | $1,368 | $1,403 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -6.8%0.4 fewer in 100 | +47.7%2.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -7.1%$105 less | -4.8%$70 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Horror and Supernatural, 12 to 36 months old: 262 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 14 of 262 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Bye Sweet Carole (15.5% of the money): 261 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 76 of 262.
Horror is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Horror | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,137 of 3,283 launches | Without the breakout3,282 of 3,283 launches | Last 18 months1,000 of 3,283 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,283193 hits | 3,137189 hits | 3,282192 hits | 1,00058 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,005top tenth $35,503+ | $1,023 | $1,005 | $942 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +2.5%0.1 more in 100 | -0.5%no change | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.8%$18 more | 0.0%no change | -6.3%$63 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Horror, 12 to 36 months old: 3,283 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 146 of 3,283 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (17.8% of the money): 3,282 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,000 of 3,283.
Supernatural is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Supernatural | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view363 of 384 launches | Without the breakout383 of 384 launches | Last 18 months113 of 384 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 38418 hits | 36316 hits | 38317 hits | 1137 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.7 in 1001 in 21 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 | 6.2 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,191top tenth $32,686+ | $1,144 | $1,178 | $1,501 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -6.0%0.3 fewer in 100 | -5.3%0.2 fewer in 100 | +32.2%1.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -3.9%$47 less | -1.1%$13 less | +26.0%$310 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Supernatural, 12 to 36 months old: 384 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 384 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Séance of Blake Manor (20.2% of the money): 383 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 113 of 384.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Horror + Supernatural moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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