Niche

Idler + Simulation

Games tagged both Idler and Simulation: 316 indie paid launches, 12 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Idler + Simulation priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Idler and trails Simulation; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Idler and is too small to compare with Simulation.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Idler + Simulation is too small to compare with Idler and is too small to compare with Simulation: 0 of its 14 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 22.2 in 100 for Idler and 23.8 in 100 for Simulation.

Small sample: 14 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneIdler

22.2in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds22.2 in 100

$1k+75 in 100

$10k+53 in 100

Launches36 / 8 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairIdler + Simulation

0 of 14launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 14 launches

$1k+10 of 14 launches

$10k+4 of 14 launches

Launches14 / 0 hits

Expected20.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoSimulation

23.8in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds23.8 in 100

Typical earnings$15,416

Launches874 / 208 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices316 in pair Under $5224 in pair $5 to $1078 in pair $10 to $2014 in pair$20 to $40no launches

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 14 games tagged both Idler and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 0 of 14 of them earned $100k+, against 8 of 22 for Idler-only games and 24.2 in 100 for Simulation-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Idler alone and is too small to compare with Simulation alone.

Both: 14 games priced $10 to $20; 0 of 14 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 10 of 14 launches · $10k+ 4 of 14 launches · $100k+ 0 of 14 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 14 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Rusty's Retirementleads this pair25.0%

PairRusty's Retirement25.0%

IdlerSpirit City: Lofi Sessions12.4%

SimulationSchedule I17.9%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Idler + Simulation

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Rusty's Retirement earned 25.0% of the estimated first-year money of the 316 Idler + Simulation launches.
Idler is led by Spirit City: Lofi Sessions, with 12.4% of its money.
Simulation is led by Schedule I, with 17.9% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Idler + Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Idler + Simulation through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view292 of 316 launches	Without the breakout315 of 316 launches	Last 18 months133 of 316 launches
Launches counted	31612 hits	29210 hits	31511 hits	1335 hits
Earned $100k+	3.8 in 1001 in 26	3.4 in 1001 in 29	3.5 in 1001 in 29	3.8 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings	$567top tenth $33,962+	$630	$565	$506
Chance against standard	the base	-9.8%0.4 fewer in 100	-8.0%0.3 fewer in 100	-1.0%no change
Typical against standard	the base	+11.1%$63 more	-0.4%$2 less	-10.8%$61 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Idler and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 316 launches.

Launches counted: 31612 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.8 in 1001 in 26
Typical first-year earnings: $567top tenth $33,962+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 316 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 29210 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.4 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings: $630
Chance against standard: -9.8%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +11.1%$63 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Rusty's Retirement (25.0% of the money): 315 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 31511 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.5 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings: $565
Chance against standard: -8.0%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.4%$2 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 133 of 316.

Launches counted: 1335 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.8 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings: $506
Chance against standard: -1.0%no change
Typical against standard: -10.8%$61 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Idler and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 316 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 316 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Rusty's Retirement (25.0% of the money): 315 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 133 of 316.

Idler is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Idler through every lens, all prices
Idler	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view768 of 842 launches	Without the breakout841 of 842 launches	Last 18 months336 of 842 launches
Launches counted	84242 hits	76836 hits	84141 hits	33622 hits
Earned $100k+	5.0 in 1001 in 20	4.7 in 1001 in 21	4.9 in 1001 in 21	6.5 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings	$472top tenth $32,990+	$473	$469	$446
Chance against standard	the base	-6.0%0.3 fewer in 100	-2.3%0.1 fewer in 100	+31.3%1.6 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+0.2%$1 more	-0.6%$3 less	-5.5%$26 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Idler, 12 to 36 months old: 842 launches.

Launches counted: 84242 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $472top tenth $32,990+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 74 of 842 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 76836 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.7 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings: $473
Chance against standard: -6.0%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +0.2%$1 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Spirit City: Lofi Sessions (12.4% of the money): 841 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 84141 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.9 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings: $469
Chance against standard: -2.3%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.6%$3 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 336 of 842.

Launches counted: 33622 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.5 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $446
Chance against standard: +31.3%1.6 more in 100
Typical against standard: -5.5%$26 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Idler, 12 to 36 months old: 842 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 74 of 842 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Spirit City: Lofi Sessions (12.4% of the money): 841 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 336 of 842.

Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Simulation through every lens, all prices
Simulation	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view4,191 of 4,442 launches	Without the breakout4,441 of 4,442 launches	Last 18 months1,386 of 4,442 launches
Launches counted	4,442408 hits	4,191389 hits	4,441407 hits	1,386133 hits
Earned $100k+	9.2 in 1001 in 11	9.3 in 1001 in 11	9.2 in 1001 in 11	9.6 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings	$929top tenth $86,074+	$1,011	$928	$1,011
Chance against standard	the base	+1.1%0.1 more in 100	-0.2%no change	+4.5%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+8.8%$82 more	-0.1%$1 less	+8.8%$82 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,442 launches.

Launches counted: 4,442408 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $929top tenth $86,074+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,442 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 4,191389 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.3 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,011
Chance against standard: +1.1%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +8.8%$82 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.9% of the money): 4,441 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 4,441407 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $928
Chance against standard: -0.2%no change
Typical against standard: -0.1%$1 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,386 of 4,442.

Launches counted: 1,386133 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.6 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $1,011
Chance against standard: +4.5%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: +8.8%$82 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,442 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,442 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.9% of the money): 4,441 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,386 of 4,442.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Idler + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.