Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Incremental + Pixel Graphics
Incremental + Pixel Graphics
Games tagged both Incremental and Pixel Graphics: 131 indie paid launches, 10 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Incremental + Pixel Graphics priced under $5, west-facing view. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Incremental and is about level with Pixel Graphics; priced under $5 it beats both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Incremental + Pixel Graphics beats both its tags: 5.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 1.2 in 100 for Incremental and 0.8 in 100 for Pixel Graphics.
That is 1 in 18, about 12 times the 0.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 106 games tagged both Incremental and Pixel Graphics priced under $5. 5.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 4 of 748 for Incremental-only games and 0.5 in 100 for Pixel Graphics-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Incremental alone and beats Pixel Graphics alone.
Both: 106 games priced under $5; 5.7 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 18), typical first-year earnings $269.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 106 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The west-facing view lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Incremental + Pixel Graphics holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view125 of 131 launches | Without the breakout130 of 131 launches | Last 18 months52 of 131 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 13110 hits | 1259 hits | 1309 hits | 525 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 | 9.6 in 1001 in 10 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $383top tenth $61,500+ | $375 | $383 | $458 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -5.7%0.4 fewer in 100 | -9.3%0.7 fewer in 100 | +26.0%2.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -2.1%$8 less | 0.0%no change | +19.6%$75 more; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Incremental and Pixel Graphics, 12 to 36 months old: 131 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 6 of 131 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Tiny Pasture (15.9% of the money): 130 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 52 of 131.
Incremental holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Incremental | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view977 of 1,070 launches | Without the breakout1,069 of 1,070 launches | Last 18 months394 of 1,070 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,07022 hits | 97720 hits | 1,06921 hits | 39411 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.1 in 1001 in 49 | 2.0 in 1001 in 49 | 2.0 in 1001 in 51 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $285top tenth $11,515+ | $286 | $284 | $247 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.4%no change | -4.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | +35.8%0.7 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.4%$1 more | -0.4%$1 less | -13.3%$38 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Incremental, 12 to 36 months old: 1,070 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 93 of 1,070 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, (the) Gnorp Apologue (7.2% of the money): 1,069 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 394 of 1,070.
Pixel Graphics is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.
| Pixel Graphics | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,492 of 3,686 launches | Without the breakout3,685 of 3,686 launches | Last 18 months1,073 of 3,686 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,686188 hits | 3,492169 hits | 3,685187 hits | 1,07368 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $459top tenth $28,145+ | $480 | $459 | $383 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -5.1%0.3 fewer in 100 | -0.5%no change | +24.3%1.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.6%$21 more | 0.0%no change | -16.6%$76 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Pixel Graphics, 12 to 36 months old: 3,686 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 194 of 3,686 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (23.0% of the money): 3,685 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,073 of 3,686.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Incremental + Pixel Graphics moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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