Niche

JRPG + Retro

Games tagged both JRPG and Retro: 43 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 30+ launches Reset

Showing JRPG + Retro priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is too small to compare with JRPG and is too small to compare with Retro; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

14 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

2NDRunner-up

Tag oneJRPG

9.4in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 11

Typical earnings$4,022

Launches171 / 16 hits

Pairno reading

--No reading

This pairJRPG + Retro

--too few
to read

Odds--

Typical earnings--

Launches14

14 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.

1STWinner

Tag twomood tagRetro

17.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds17.6 in 100

Typical earnings$8,419

Launches165 / 29 hits

Pairno reading

All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Retro is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices43 in pair Under $516 in pair $5 to $1012 in pair $10 to $2014 in pair$20 to $401: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 14 games tagged both JRPG and Retro priced $10 to $20. 1 of 14 of them earned $100k+, against 9.6 in 100 for JRPG-only games and 18.5 in 100 for Retro-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with JRPG alone and is too small to compare with Retro alone.

Both: 14 games priced $10 to $20; 1 of 14 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $8,273.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 14 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Quartetleads this pair30.0%

PairQuartet30.0%

JRPGGranblue Fantasy: Relink53.9%

RetroMouthwashing20.9%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 2, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: not run yet.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads JRPG + Retro

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Quartet earned 30.0% of the estimated first-year money of the 43 JRPG + Retro launches.
JRPG is led by Granblue Fantasy: Relink, with 53.9% of its money.
Retro is led by Mouthwashing, with 20.9% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

JRPG + Retro holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

JRPG + Retro through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view36 of 43 launches	Without the breakout42 of 43 launches	Last 18 monthstoo few
Launches counted	431 hits	361 hits	420 hits	too few
Earned $100k+	1 of 43too few for a rate	1 of 36too few for a rate	0 of 42too few for a rate	too few
Typical first-year earnings	$575top tenth $35,038+	$1,446	$575	too few
Chance against standard	the base	+19.4%0.5 more in 100; too few to tell	-100.0%2.3 fewer in 100	too few
Typical against standard	the base	+151.5%$871 more; too few to tell	0.0%no change	too few
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Not run yet

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both JRPG and Retro, 12 to 36 months old: 43 launches.

Launches counted: 431 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 43too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $575top tenth $35,038+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 43 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 361 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 36too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $1,446
Chance against standard: +19.4%0.5 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +151.5%$871 more; too few to tell

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Quartet (30.0% of the money): 42 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 420 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 42too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $575
Chance against standard: -100.0%2.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsNot run yet

Too few launches to run this lens.

Launches counted: too few
Earned $100k+: too few
Typical first-year earnings: too few
Chance against standard: too few
Typical against standard: too few

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both JRPG and Retro, 12 to 36 months old: 43 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 43 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Quartet (30.0% of the money): 42 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Too few launches to run this lens.

JRPG is changed recently +2: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 2 more lenses too.

JRPG through every lens, all prices
JRPG	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view488 of 584 launches	Without the breakout583 of 584 launches	Last 18 months159 of 584 launches
Launches counted	58436 hits	48826 hits	58335 hits	15911 hits
Earned $100k+	6.2 in 1001 in 16	5.3 in 1001 in 19	6.0 in 1001 in 17	6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings	$941top tenth $50,066+	$1,063	$911	$2,106
Chance against standard	the base	-13.6%0.8 fewer in 100	-2.6%0.2 fewer in 100	+12.2%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+13.0%$122 more	-3.2%$30 less	+123.8%$1,165 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Moves the answer	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged JRPG, 12 to 36 months old: 584 launches.

Launches counted: 58436 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.2 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $941top tenth $50,066+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 96 of 584 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 48826 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.3 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $1,063
Chance against standard: -13.6%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +13.0%$122 more

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (53.9% of the money): 583 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 58335 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $911
Chance against standard: -2.6%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -3.2%$30 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 159 of 584.

Launches counted: 15911 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $2,106
Chance against standard: +12.2%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard: +123.8%$1,165 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged JRPG, 12 to 36 months old: 584 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 96 of 584 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (53.9% of the money): 583 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 159 of 584.

Retro holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Retro through every lens, all prices
Retro	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,266 of 1,299 launches	Without the breakout1,298 of 1,299 launches	Last 18 months361 of 1,299 launches
Launches counted	1,29954 hits	1,26653 hits	1,29853 hits	36112 hits
Earned $100k+	4.2 in 1001 in 24	4.2 in 1001 in 24	4.1 in 1001 in 24	3.3 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings	$574top tenth $19,804+	$574	$574	$459
Chance against standard	the base	+0.7%no change	-1.8%0.1 fewer in 100	-20.0%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	-20.0%$115 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Retro, 12 to 36 months old: 1,299 launches.

Launches counted: 1,29954 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $574top tenth $19,804+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 33 of 1,299 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,26653 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $574
Chance against standard: +0.7%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Mouthwashing (20.9% of the money): 1,298 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,29853 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.1 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $574
Chance against standard: -1.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 361 of 1,299.

Launches counted: 36112 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.3 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings: $459
Chance against standard: -20.0%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -20.0%$115 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Retro, 12 to 36 months old: 1,299 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 33 of 1,299 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Mouthwashing (20.9% of the money): 1,298 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 361 of 1,299.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when JRPG + Retro moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.