Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Logic + Puzzle
Games tagged both Logic and Puzzle: 708 indie paid launches, 17 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Logic + Puzzle priced $10 to $20, west-facing view. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Logic and is about level with Puzzle; priced $10 to $20 it is about level with Logic and trails Puzzle.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Logic + Puzzle is about level with Logic and trails Puzzle: 10.3 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 12.4 in 100 for Logic and 14.3 in 100 for Puzzle.
That is about 0.5 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 78 games tagged both Logic and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 10.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 4 of 19 for Logic-only games and 14.9 in 100 for Puzzle-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Logic alone and trails Puzzle alone.
Both: 78 games priced $10 to $20; 10.3 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 74 in 100 · $10k+ 42 in 100 · $100k+ 10 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 78 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The west-facing view lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Logic + Puzzle is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view696 of 708 launches | Without the breakout707 of 708 launches | Last 18 months176 of 708 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 70817 hits | 69614 hits | 70716 hits | 1766 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 | 2.0 in 1001 in 50 | 2.3 in 1001 in 44 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $331top tenth $14,029+ | $344 | $331 | $266 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -16.2%0.4 fewer in 100 | -5.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | +42.0%1.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.9%$13 more | 0.0%no change | -19.6%$65 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Logic and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 708 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 12 of 708 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Murders on the Yangtze River (21.3% of the money): 707 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 176 of 708.
Logic is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.
| Logic | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view871 of 887 launches | Without the breakout886 of 887 launches | Last 18 months230 of 887 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 88723 hits | 87120 hits | 88622 hits | 23010 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.6 in 1001 in 39 | 2.3 in 1001 in 44 | 2.5 in 1001 in 40 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $331top tenth $14,029+ | $344 | $331 | $268 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -11.4%0.3 fewer in 100 | -4.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | +67.7%1.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.9%$13 more | 0.0%no change | -19.0%$63 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Logic, 12 to 36 months old: 887 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 16 of 887 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Murders on the Yangtze River (17.7% of the money): 886 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 230 of 887.
Puzzle holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Puzzle | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,055 of 5,256 launches | Without the breakout5,255 of 5,256 launches | Last 18 months1,493 of 5,256 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,256185 hits | 5,055174 hits | 5,255184 hits | 1,49359 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.5 in 1001 in 28 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 4.0 in 1001 in 25 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $421top tenth $14,242+ | $428 | $421 | $428 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.5%no change | +12.3%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.7%$7 more | 0.0%no change | +1.7%$7 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,256 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 5,256 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.4% of the money): 5,255 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,493 of 5,256.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Logic + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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