Niche

Logic + Puzzle

Games tagged both Logic and Puzzle: 707 indie paid launches, 14 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 30+ launches Reset

Showing Logic + Puzzle priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Logic and is about level with Puzzle; priced $10 to $20 it is about level with Logic and trails Puzzle.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Logic + Puzzle is about level with Logic and trails Puzzle: 7.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 9.3 in 100 for Logic and 12.4 in 100 for Puzzle.

That is 1 in 13, about 0.4 times the 17.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

TIETied

Tag oneLogic

9.3in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 11

Typical earnings$4,980

Launches97 / 9 hits

A tie, apart by1.6 in 100

TIETied

This pairLogic + Puzzle

7.7in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 13

Typical earnings$3,798

Launches78 / 6 hits

Expected17.6 in 100

1STWinner

Tag twoPuzzle

12.4in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds12.4 in 100

Typical earnings$3,798

Launches686 / 85 hits

Pair trails by4.7 in 100

All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices707 in pair Under $5437 in pair $5 to $10184 in pair $10 to $2078 in pair$20 to $408: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 78 games tagged both Logic and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 7.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 3 of 19 for Logic-only games and 13.0 in 100 for Puzzle-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Logic alone and trails Puzzle alone.

Both: 78 games priced $10 to $20; 7.7 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 13), typical first-year earnings $3,798.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 78 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Murders on the Yangtze Riverleads this pair19.5%

PairMurders on the Yangtze River19.5%

LogicMurders on the Yangtze River16.4%

PuzzleBlue Prince7.2%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Logic + Puzzle

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Murders on the Yangtze River earned 19.5% of the estimated first-year money of the 707 Logic + Puzzle launches.
It also leads Logic, with 16.4% of that tag's money.
Puzzle is led by Blue Prince, with 7.2% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Logic + Puzzle is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Logic + Puzzle through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view695 of 707 launches	Without the breakout706 of 707 launches	Last 18 months175 of 707 launches
Launches counted	70714 hits	69511 hits	70613 hits	1754 hits
Earned $100k+	2.0 in 1001 in 51	1.6 in 1001 in 63	1.8 in 1001 in 54	4 of 175too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$337top tenth $11,548+	$340	$337	$268
Chance against standard	the base	-20.1%0.4 fewer in 100	-7.0%0.1 fewer in 100	+15.4%0.3 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+0.9%$3 more	0.0%no change	-20.5%$69 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Logic and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 707 launches.

Launches counted: 70714 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.0 in 1001 in 51
Typical first-year earnings: $337top tenth $11,548+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 12 of 707 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 69511 hits
Earned $100k+: 1.6 in 1001 in 63
Typical first-year earnings: $340
Chance against standard: -20.1%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +0.9%$3 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Murders on the Yangtze River (19.5% of the money): 706 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 70613 hits
Earned $100k+: 1.8 in 1001 in 54
Typical first-year earnings: $337
Chance against standard: -7.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 175 of 707.

Launches counted: 1754 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 175too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $268
Chance against standard: +15.4%0.3 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: -20.5%$69 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Logic and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 707 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 12 of 707 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Murders on the Yangtze River (19.5% of the money): 706 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 175 of 707.

Logic is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Logic through every lens, all prices
Logic	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view870 of 886 launches	Without the breakout885 of 886 launches	Last 18 months229 of 886 launches
Launches counted	88619 hits	87016 hits	88518 hits	2297 hits
Earned $100k+	2.1 in 1001 in 47	1.8 in 1001 in 54	2.0 in 1001 in 49	3.1 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings	$337top tenth $11,057+	$340	$337	$287
Chance against standard	the base	-14.2%0.3 fewer in 100	-5.2%0.1 fewer in 100	+42.5%0.9 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+0.9%$3 more	0.0%no change	-14.8%$50 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Logic, 12 to 36 months old: 886 launches.

Launches counted: 88619 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.1 in 1001 in 47
Typical first-year earnings: $337top tenth $11,057+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 16 of 886 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 87016 hits
Earned $100k+: 1.8 in 1001 in 54
Typical first-year earnings: $340
Chance against standard: -14.2%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +0.9%$3 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Murders on the Yangtze River (16.4% of the money): 885 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 88518 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.0 in 1001 in 49
Typical first-year earnings: $337
Chance against standard: -5.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 229 of 886.

Launches counted: 2297 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $287
Chance against standard: +42.5%0.9 more in 100
Typical against standard: -14.8%$50 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Logic, 12 to 36 months old: 886 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 16 of 886 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Murders on the Yangtze River (16.4% of the money): 885 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 229 of 886.

Puzzle is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Puzzle through every lens, all prices
Puzzle	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view5,057 of 5,257 launches	Without the breakout5,256 of 5,257 launches	Last 18 months1,499 of 5,257 launches
Launches counted	5,257163 hits	5,057152 hits	5,256162 hits	1,49953 hits
Earned $100k+	3.1 in 1001 in 32	3.0 in 1001 in 33	3.1 in 1001 in 32	3.5 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings	$405top tenth $12,506+	$421	$405	$402
Chance against standard	the base	-3.1%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.6%no change	+14.0%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+4.0%$16 more	0.0%no change	-0.7%$3 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,257 launches.

Launches counted: 5,257163 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 32
Typical first-year earnings: $405top tenth $12,506+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 200 of 5,257 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 5,057152 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $421
Chance against standard: -3.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +4.0%$16 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.2% of the money): 5,256 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 5,256162 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 32
Typical first-year earnings: $405
Chance against standard: -0.6%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,499 of 5,257.

Launches counted: 1,49953 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.5 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings: $402
Chance against standard: +14.0%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: -0.7%$3 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,257 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 200 of 5,257 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.2% of the money): 5,256 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,499 of 5,257.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Logic + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.