Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Magic + Puzzle
Games tagged both Magic and Puzzle: 78 indie paid launches, 2 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Magic + Puzzle priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
23 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.
Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.
23 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 23 games tagged both Magic and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 0.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 9.0 for Magic-only games and 14.2 for Puzzle-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 23 games priced $10 to $20; 0.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $789.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 23 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Magic + Puzzle is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view78 of 78 launches | Without the breakout77 of 78 launches | Last 18 months41 of 78 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 782 hits | 782 hits | 771 hits | 412 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 | 1.3 in 1001 in 77 | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $13,839+ | $404 | $324 | $243 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -50.0%1.3 fewer in 100 | +88.5%2.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -19.8%$80 less | -39.9%$161 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Magic and Puzzle, 6 to 30 months old: 78 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 78 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Ghost Town (43.9% of the money): 77 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 41 of 78.
Magic holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Magic | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view555 of 589 launches | Without the breakout588 of 589 launches | Last 18 months305 of 589 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 58925 hits | 55525 hits | 58824 hits | 30514 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.5 in 1001 in 22 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 | 4.6 in 1001 in 22 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $606top tenth $26,501+ | $607 | $606 | $533 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +7.1%0.3 more in 100 | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +9.5%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | -12.0%$73 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Magic, 6 to 30 months old: 589 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 589 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Spell Brigade (16.6% of the money): 588 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 305 of 589.
Puzzle holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Puzzle | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,529 of 5,739 launches | Without the breakout5,738 of 5,739 launches | Last 18 months3,111 of 5,739 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,739203 hits | 5,529192 hits | 5,738202 hits | 3,111106 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $443top tenth $14,400+ | $461 | $443 | $405 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -2.9%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.1%$18 more | 0.0%no change | -8.6%$38 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 6 to 30 months old: 5,739 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 210 of 5,739 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.0% of the money): 5,738 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,111 of 5,739.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Magic + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.