Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Match 3 + Puzzle
Games tagged both Match 3 and Puzzle: 215 indie paid launches, 4 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Match 3 + Puzzle priced $10 to $20, last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Match 3 + Puzzle is too small to compare with Match 3 and is too small to compare with Puzzle: 4 of its 24 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 4 of 34 launches for Match 3 and 14.3 in 100 for Puzzle.
Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures. Small sample: 24 launches, 4 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 24 games tagged both Match 3 and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 4 of 24 of them earned $100k+, against 0 of 10 for Match 3-only games and 14.2 in 100 for Puzzle-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Match 3 alone and is too small to compare with Puzzle alone.
Both: 24 games priced $10 to $20; 4 of 24 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 13 of 24 launches · $10k+ 5 of 24 launches · $100k+ 4 of 24 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 24 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Match 3 + Puzzle is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view210 of 215 launches | Without the breakout214 of 215 launches | Last 18 months50 of 215 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2154 hits | 2103 hits | 2143 hits | 502 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4 of 215too few for a rate | 3 of 210too few for a rate | 3 of 214too few for a rate | 2 of 50too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $156top tenth $1,479+ | $156 | $156 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -23.2%0.4 fewer in 100; too few to tell | -24.6%0.5 fewer in 100 | +115.0%2.1 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Match 3 and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 215 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 215 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, POPUCOM (65.5% of the money): 214 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 50 of 215.
Match 3 is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.
| Match 3 | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view278 of 298 launches | Without the breakout297 of 298 launches | Last 18 months70 of 298 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2984 hits | 2783 hits | 2973 hits | 702 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4 of 298too few for a rate | 3 of 278too few for a rate | 3 of 297too few for a rate | 2 of 70too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $130top tenth $1,696+ | $138 | $125 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -19.6%0.3 fewer in 100; too few to tell | -24.7%0.3 fewer in 100 | +112.9%1.5 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | +6.2%$8 more | -3.8%$5 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged Match 3, 12 to 36 months old: 298 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 20 of 298 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, POPUCOM (58.5% of the money): 297 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 70 of 298.
Puzzle holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Puzzle | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,055 of 5,256 launches | Without the breakout5,255 of 5,256 launches | Last 18 months1,493 of 5,256 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,256185 hits | 5,055174 hits | 5,255184 hits | 1,49359 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.5 in 1001 in 28 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 4.0 in 1001 in 25 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $421top tenth $14,242+ | $428 | $421 | $428 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.5%no change | +12.3%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.7%$7 more | 0.0%no change | +1.7%$7 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,256 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 5,256 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.4% of the money): 5,255 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,493 of 5,256.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Match 3 + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.