Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Medieval + Simulation
Medieval + Simulation
Games tagged both Medieval and Simulation: 113 indie paid launches, 20 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Medieval + Simulation priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Medieval + Simulation beats both its tags: 28.1 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 24.6 in 100 for Medieval and 21.5 in 100 for Simulation.
That is about 1.5 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 32 games tagged both Medieval and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 28.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 23.4 for Medieval-only games and 21.3 for Simulation-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 32 games priced $10 to $20; 28.1 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $37,237.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 32 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Medieval + Simulation holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view109 of 113 launches | Without the breakout112 of 113 launches | Last 18 months72 of 113 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 11320 hits | 10920 hits | 11219 hits | 7212 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 17.7 in 100 | 18.3 in 100 | 17.0 in 100 | 16.7 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $3,132top tenth $218,591+ | $3,132 | $3,132 | $3,642 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +3.4%0.6 more in 100 | -4.0%0.7 fewer in 100 | -5.6%1.0 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +16.3%$510 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Medieval and Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 113 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 113 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Half Sword (44.8% of the money): 112 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 72 of 113.
Medieval holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Medieval | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view668 of 715 launches | Without the breakout714 of 715 launches | Last 18 months403 of 715 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 71557 hits | 66856 hits | 71456 hits | 40336 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.0 in 1001 in 13 | 8.4 in 1001 in 12 | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 8.9 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $606top tenth $63,423+ | $606 | $606 | $607 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +5.0%0.4 more in 100 | -2.5%0.2 fewer in 100 | +11.2%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +0.2%$1 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Medieval, 6 to 30 months old: 715 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 47 of 715 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Half Sword (20.9% of the money): 714 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 403 of 715.
Simulation holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Simulation | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,023 of 5,285 launches | Without the breakout5,284 of 5,285 launches | Last 18 months3,070 of 5,285 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,285435 hits | 5,023411 hits | 5,284434 hits | 3,070225 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $982top tenth $69,988+ | $1,012 | $982 | $971 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -11.0%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +3.1%$30 more | 0.0%no change | -1.1%$11 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 5,285 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 262 of 5,285 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (15.4% of the money): 5,284 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,070 of 5,285.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Medieval + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.