Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Minimalist + Stylized
Minimalist + Stylized
Games tagged both Minimalist and Stylized: 121 indie paid launches, 2 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Minimalist + Stylized priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is level with Minimalist and trails Stylized; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
11 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.
68 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
11 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 11 games tagged both Minimalist and Stylized priced $10 to $20. 18.2 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.0 for Minimalist-only games and 15.5 for Stylized-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 11 games priced $10 to $20; 18.2 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $2,125.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 11 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Minimalist + Stylized is one-hit market +1: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view120 of 121 launches | Without the breakout120 of 121 launches | Last 18 months66 of 121 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1212 hits | 1202 hits | 1201 hits | 661 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.7 in 1001 in 59 | 1.7 in 1001 in 59 | 0.8 in 1001 in 125 | 1.5 in 1001 in 67 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $273top tenth $4,848+ | $283 | $273 | $202 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -52.9%0.9 fewer in 100 | -11.8%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +3.7%$10 more | 0.0%no change | -26.0%$71 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Minimalist and Stylized, 6 to 30 months old: 121 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 121 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Star Birds (69.6% of the money): 120 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 66 of 121.
Minimalist holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Minimalist | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,171 of 1,203 launches | Without the breakout1,202 of 1,203 launches | Last 18 months683 of 1,203 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,20324 hits | 1,17124 hits | 1,20223 hits | 68313 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.0 in 1001 in 50 | 2.0 in 1001 in 50 | 1.9 in 1001 in 53 | 1.9 in 1001 in 53 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $202top tenth $5,558+ | $202 | $202 | $182 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -5.0%0.1 fewer in 100 | -5.0%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -9.9%$20 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Minimalist, 6 to 30 months old: 1,203 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 32 of 1,203 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Cast n Chill (18.5% of the money): 1,202 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 683 of 1,203.
Stylized holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Stylized | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,493 of 1,525 launches | Without the breakout1,524 of 1,525 launches | Last 18 months875 of 1,525 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,52558 hits | 1,49357 hits | 1,52457 hits | 87528 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 | 3.7 in 1001 in 27 | 3.2 in 1001 in 31 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $405top tenth $12,445+ | $405 | $405 | $404 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -2.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -15.8%0.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -0.2%$1 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Stylized, 6 to 30 months old: 1,525 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 32 of 1,525 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Cairn (18.1% of the money): 1,524 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 875 of 1,525.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Minimalist + Stylized moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.