Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Multiple Endings + Simulation
Multiple Endings + Simulation
Games tagged both Multiple Endings and Simulation: 205 indie paid launches, 22 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Multiple Endings + Simulation priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Multiple Endings + Simulation beats both its tags: 36.1 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 21.9 in 100 for Multiple Endings and 21.5 in 100 for Simulation.
That is about 1.9 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 36 games tagged both Multiple Endings and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 36.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 19.3 for Multiple Endings-only games and 20.9 for Simulation-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 36 games priced $10 to $20; 36.1 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $38,877.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 36 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Multiple Endings + Simulation holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view176 of 205 launches | Without the breakout204 of 205 launches | Last 18 months109 of 205 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 20522 hits | 17615 hits | 20421 hits | 1099 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 10.7 in 100 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 10.3 in 100 | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,056top tenth $106,797+ | $1,718 | $2,056 | $1,695 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -20.6%2.2 fewer in 100 | -3.7%0.4 fewer in 100 | -22.4%2.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -16.4%$338 less | 0.0%no change | -17.6%$361 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Multiple Endings and Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 205 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 29 of 205 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollywood Animal (14.8% of the money): 204 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 109 of 205.
Multiple Endings holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Multiple Endings | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,161 of 1,318 launches | Without the breakout1,317 of 1,318 launches | Last 18 months750 of 1,318 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,31896 hits | 1,16168 hits | 1,31795 hits | 75045 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,048top tenth $60,473+ | $1,007 | $1,029 | $808 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -19.2%1.4 fewer in 100 | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -17.8%1.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -3.9%$41 less | -1.8%$19 less | -22.9%$240 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Multiple Endings, 6 to 30 months old: 1,318 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 157 of 1,318 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (12.0% of the money): 1,317 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 750 of 1,318.
Simulation holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Simulation | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,023 of 5,285 launches | Without the breakout5,284 of 5,285 launches | Last 18 months3,070 of 5,285 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,285435 hits | 5,023411 hits | 5,284434 hits | 3,070225 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $982top tenth $69,988+ | $1,012 | $982 | $971 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -11.0%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +3.1%$30 more | 0.0%no change | -1.1%$11 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 5,285 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 262 of 5,285 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (15.4% of the money): 5,284 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,070 of 5,285.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Multiple Endings + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.