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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 4 Oct 2026

Niches / Physics + Racing

Niche

Physics + Racing

Games tagged both Physics and Racing: 113 indie paid launches, 10 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Physics + Racing priced $10 to $20, without the breakout. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Physics and beats Racing; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Physics and is too small to compare with Racing.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Physics + Racing is too small to compare with Physics and is too small to compare with Racing: 4 of its 11 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 24.4 in 100 for Physics and 19.6 in 100 for Racing.

Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures. Small sample: 11 launches, 4 hits.

TIEA tie
Tag onemood tagPhysics
24.4in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds24.4 in 100
Typical earnings$14,424
Launches164 / 40 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairPhysics + Racing
4 of 11launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds4 of 11 launches
$1k+9 of 11 launches
$10k+6 of 11 launches
Launches11 / 4 hits
Expected20.4 in 100
TIETied
Tag twoRacing
19.6in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds19.6 in 100
Typical earnings$5,960
Launches112 / 22 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Physics is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices113 in pairUnder $569 in pair$5 to $1028 in pair$10 to $2011 in pair$20 to $405: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 11 games tagged both Physics and Racing priced $10 to $20. 4 of 11 of them earned $100k+, against 23.5 in 100 for Physics-only games and 17.8 in 100 for Racing-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Physics alone and is too small to compare with Racing alone.

Both: 11 games priced $10 to $20; 4 of 11 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 9 of 11 launches · $10k+ 6 of 11 launches · $100k+ 4 of 11 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 11 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The without the breakout lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Assetto Corsa EVOleads this pair60.4%
PairAssetto Corsa EVO60.4%
PhysicsR.E.P.O.32.0%
RacingAssetto Corsa EVO24.2%
CheckOne game over half?yes
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Physics + Racing

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Assetto Corsa EVO earned 60.4% of the estimated first-year money of the 113 Physics + Racing launches.
  • Physics is led by R.E.P.O., with 32.0% of its money.
  • It also leads Racing, with 24.2% of that tag's money.
  • One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Physics + Racing is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.

Physics + Racing through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view110 of 113 launchesWithout the breakout112 of 113 launchesLast 18 months32 of 113 launches
Launches counted11310 hits11010 hits1129 hits323 hits
Earned $100k+8.8 in 1001 in 119.1 in 1001 in 118.0 in 1001 in 123 of 32too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$331top tenth $11,459+$331$331under 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base+2.7%0.2 more in 100-9.2%0.8 fewer in 100+5.9%0.5 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base0.0%no change0.0%no changeunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsMoves the answerToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Physics and Racing, 12 to 36 months old: 113 launches.

Launches counted
11310 hits
Earned $100k+
8.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$331top tenth $11,459+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 113 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
11010 hits
Earned $100k+
9.1 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$331
Chance against standard
+2.7%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Assetto Corsa EVO (60.4% of the money): 112 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1129 hits
Earned $100k+
8.0 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$331
Chance against standard
-9.2%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 32 of 113.

Launches counted
323 hits
Earned $100k+
3 of 32too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+5.9%0.5 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Physics and Racing, 12 to 36 months old: 113 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 113 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Assetto Corsa EVO (60.4% of the money): 112 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 32 of 113.

Physics is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Physics through every lens, all prices
PhysicsBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,121 of 1,142 launchesWithout the breakout1,141 of 1,142 launchesLast 18 months311 of 1,142 launches
Launches counted1,14275 hits1,12174 hits1,14174 hits31128 hits
Earned $100k+6.6 in 1001 in 156.6 in 1001 in 156.5 in 1001 in 159.0 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings$398top tenth $32,284+$414$398$465
Chance against standardthe base+0.5%no change-1.2%0.1 fewer in 100+37.1%2.4 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+4.0%$16 more0.0%no change+16.8%$67 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Physics, 12 to 36 months old: 1,142 launches.

Launches counted
1,14275 hits
Earned $100k+
6.6 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$398top tenth $32,284+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 1,142 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,12174 hits
Earned $100k+
6.6 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$414
Chance against standard
+0.5%no change
Typical against standard
+4.0%$16 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (32.0% of the money): 1,141 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,14174 hits
Earned $100k+
6.5 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$398
Chance against standard
-1.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 311 of 1,142.

Launches counted
31128 hits
Earned $100k+
9.0 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$465
Chance against standard
+37.1%2.4 more in 100
Typical against standard
+16.8%$67 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Physics, 12 to 36 months old: 1,142 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 1,142 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (32.0% of the money): 1,141 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 311 of 1,142.

Racing is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Racing through every lens, all prices
RacingBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view753 of 779 launchesWithout the breakout778 of 779 launchesLast 18 months213 of 779 launches
Launches counted77939 hits75339 hits77838 hits21315 hits
Earned $100k+5.0 in 1001 in 205.2 in 1001 in 194.9 in 1001 in 207.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings$264top tenth $17,129+$283$264$357
Chance against standardthe base+3.5%0.2 more in 100-2.4%0.1 fewer in 100+40.7%2.0 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+7.2%$19 more0.0%no change+35.2%$93 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Racing, 12 to 36 months old: 779 launches.

Launches counted
77939 hits
Earned $100k+
5.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings
$264top tenth $17,129+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 779 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
75339 hits
Earned $100k+
5.2 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings
$283
Chance against standard
+3.5%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
+7.2%$19 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Assetto Corsa EVO (24.2% of the money): 778 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
77838 hits
Earned $100k+
4.9 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings
$264
Chance against standard
-2.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 213 of 779.

Launches counted
21315 hits
Earned $100k+
7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$357
Chance against standard
+40.7%2.0 more in 100
Typical against standard
+35.2%$93 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Racing, 12 to 36 months old: 779 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 779 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Assetto Corsa EVO (24.2% of the money): 778 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 213 of 779.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Physics + Racing moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.